Football · Greece Super League Women · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Agia Paraskevi (W) vs AEK Athens (W)
Team pages: Agia Paraskevi (W) · AEK Athens (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Agia Paraskevi (W)0.63
AEK Athens (W)1.76
1X2
Agia Paraskevi (W)
Draw
AEK Athens (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Agia Paraskevi (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
AEK Athens (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Agia Paraskevi (W)
0–4
AEK Athens (W)
(4 last)
- AEK Athens (W)1-0Agia Paraskevi (W)
- Agia Paraskevi (W)0-3AEK Athens (W)
- AEK Athens (W)1-0Agia Paraskevi (W)
- Agia Paraskevi (W)0-1AEK Athens (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agia Paraskevi (W) 1492 · AEK Athens (W) 1591
| Agia Paraskevi (W) | Draw | AEK Athens (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 25% | 64% |
| Market | 14% | 21% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Athens (W) (rating 1492 vs 1591).
- H2H favours AEK Athens (W): 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Agia Paraskevi (W) | AEK Athens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Agia Paraskevi (W) 0–0–4 AEK Athens (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Greece Super League Women | AEK Athens (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Agia Paraskevi (W) |
| 23/11/25 Greece Super League Women | Agia Paraskevi (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | AEK Athens (W) |
| 01/03/25 Greece Super League Women | AEK Athens (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Agia Paraskevi (W) |
| 03/11/24 Greece Super League Women | Agia Paraskevi (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens (W) |
Standings · Greece Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | AEK Athens (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Agia Paraskevi (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | AO Rea (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AE Kifisias (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 8 | Seirines Grevenon (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Volos NFC (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | OFI FC (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Pyrgos AFC (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Agia Paraskevi (W) | AEK Athens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Salonika (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AO Rea (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Panathinaikos (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| AE Kifisias (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Athens (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agia Paraskevi (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Panathinaikos (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | AEK Athens (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Nees Atromitou (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Trikala 2011 (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
AEK Athens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Seirines Grevenon (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Volos 2004 (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Asteras Tripolis (W) Greece Super League Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Volos NFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Agia Paraskevi (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Panathinaikos (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/02 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agia Paraskevi (W) vs AEK Athens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AEK Athens (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Agia Paraskevi (W) 13%, draw 22%, AEK Athens (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in Agia Paraskevi (W) vs AEK Athens (W)?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Agia Paraskevi (W) 0.63 · AEK Athens (W) 1.76), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Agia Paraskevi (W) vs AEK Athens (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.