Football · Greece Super League Women · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Panathinaikos (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)
Team pages: Panathinaikos (W) · Asteras Tripolis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Panathinaikos (W)1.37
Asteras Tripolis (W)1.45
1X2
Panathinaikos (W)
Draw
Asteras Tripolis (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Panathinaikos (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Asteras Tripolis (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Panathinaikos (W)
3–1–2
Asteras Tripolis (W)
(6 last)
- Panathinaikos (W)3-1Asteras Tripolis (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)4-0Panathinaikos (W)
- Panathinaikos (W)2-0Asteras Tripolis (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)0-1Panathinaikos (W)
- Panathinaikos (W)1-2Asteras Tripolis (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)0-0Panathinaikos (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Panathinaikos (W) 1572 · Asteras Tripolis (W) 1566
| Panathinaikos (W) | Draw | Asteras Tripolis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Panathinaikos (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panathinaikos (W) | Asteras Tripolis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 2.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4 | 2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panathinaikos (W) 3–1–2 Asteras Tripolis (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Greece Super League Women | Panathinaikos (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 04/10/25 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Panathinaikos (W) |
| 23/03/25 Greece Super League Women | Panathinaikos (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 07/12/24 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Panathinaikos (W) |
| 13/04/24 Greece Super League Women | Panathinaikos (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 16/12/23 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 0-0 | Panathinaikos (W) |
Standings · Greece Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK Athens (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | AO Rea (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | AE Kifisias (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 7 | Agia Paraskevi (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Volos NFC (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Seirines Grevenon (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Pyrgos AFC (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | OFI FC (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panathinaikos (W) | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Moschatou (W) | 1-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Pyrgos AFC (W) | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| OFI FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| AE Kifisias (W) | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| AO Rea (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| AEK Athens (W) | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panathinaikos (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Seirines Grevenon (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Pyrgos AFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Agia Paraskevi (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | OFI FC (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | AEK Athens (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Asteras Tripolis (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Pyrgos AFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
– | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | AEK Athens (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Nees Atromitou (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Trikala 2011 (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Volos 2004 (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | OFI FC (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panathinaikos (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Asteras Tripolis (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Panathinaikos (W) 34%, draw 28%, Asteras Tripolis (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Panathinaikos (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Panathinaikos (W) 1.37 · Asteras Tripolis (W) 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panathinaikos (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.