Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 19/10, 18:00

Prediction: Busaiteen vs Etehad Al Reef

Team pages: Busaiteen · Etehad Al Reef

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Busaiteen2.08

Etehad Al Reef0.92

1X2

64% 21% 15%

Busaiteen Draw Etehad Al Reef

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Busaiteen 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDDLLDDL

Etehad Al Reef 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Busaiteen 4–1–1 Etehad Al Reef (6 last)

Busaiteen0-0Etehad Al Reef
Etehad Al Reef2-3Busaiteen
Etehad Al Reef2-1Busaiteen
Busaiteen3-0Etehad Al Reef
Busaiteen2-0Etehad Al Reef
Etehad Al Reef1-5Busaiteen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Busaiteen 1482 · Etehad Al Reef 1381

	Busaiteen	Draw	Etehad Al Reef
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busaiteen (rating 1482 vs 1381).
H2H favours Busaiteen: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Busaiteen	Etehad Al Reef
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	1.1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:53 +24’	1.40	4.33	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Busaiteen 4–1–1 Etehad Al Reef

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	0-0 HT 0-0	Etehad Al Reef
13/12/25 Bahrain Division 2	Etehad Al Reef	2-3 HT 1-1	Busaiteen
22/02/25 Bahrain Division 2	Etehad Al Reef	2-1 HT 1-0	Busaiteen
18/10/24 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	3-0 HT 0-0	Etehad Al Reef
20/02/23 Bahrain Division 2	Busaiteen	2-0 HT 1-0	Etehad Al Reef
05/12/22 Bahrain Division 2	Etehad Al Reef	1-5 HT 0-1	Busaiteen

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Budaiya	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
1	Al Tadamun Buri	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Al Ittihad	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Al Hala	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Bahrain SC	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
5	Umm Al Hassam	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
7	Al Shabab Manama	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
8	Busaiteen	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
9	Buri Cultural SC	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
10	Qalali	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
11	Etehad Al Reef	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
12	Isa Town	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Busaiteen	Etehad Al Reef
Al Tadamun Buri	0-1 L	1-3 L
Al Hala	2-2 D	0-5 L
Al Ittifaq Maqaba	1-2 L	0-6 L
Manama	2-2 D	1-3 L
Al Ittihad	2-2 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Busaiteen (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Busaiteen

DDWDDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
13/09	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
13/05	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	1-2	2-2	11	3	D
08/05	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	2	8	L
01/05	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
26/04	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
19/04	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/04	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
07/04	Manama Bahrain Division 2	0-1	2-2	0	1	D
17/03	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	1-2	2-2	1	6	D

Etehad Al Reef

DLLDLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Al Budaiya Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
13/09	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
13/05	Manama Bahrain Division 2	1-3	1-3	4	3	L
08/05	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-4	0-5	3	8	L
01/05	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
25/04	Isa Town Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
19/04	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
13/04	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
05/04	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	–	0-6	–	–	L
15/03	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Busaiteen vs Etehad Al Reef?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Busaiteen win (64%). Probabilities: Busaiteen 64%, draw 21%, Etehad Al Reef 15%.

How many goals are expected in Busaiteen vs Etehad Al Reef?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Busaiteen 2.08 · Etehad Al Reef 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Busaiteen vs Etehad Al Reef?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.