Football · Bahrain Division 2 · 20/10, 18:00

Prediction: Isa Town vs Umm Al Hassam

Team pages: Umm Al Hassam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Isa Town1.34

Umm Al Hassam1.6

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Isa Town Draw Umm Al Hassam

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Isa Town 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Umm Al Hassam 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Isa Town 3–2–1 Umm Al Hassam (6 last)

Umm Al Hassam2-2Isa Town
Isa Town1-0Umm Al Hassam
Umm Al Hassam2-1Isa Town
Umm Al Hassam1-1Isa Town
Isa Town2-1Umm Al Hassam
Isa Town3-1Umm Al Hassam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isa Town 1445 · Umm Al Hassam 1470

	Isa Town	Draw	Umm Al Hassam
Our model	31%	27%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Isa Town: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Isa Town	Umm Al Hassam
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +4’	2.90	3.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Isa Town 3–2–1 Umm Al Hassam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/26 Bahrain Kings Cup	Umm Al Hassam	2-2 HT 1-1	Isa Town
01/05/26 Bahrain Division 2	Isa Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Umm Al Hassam
04/01/26 Bahrain Division 2	Umm Al Hassam	2-1 HT 1-1	Isa Town
16/04/25 Bahrain Division 2	Umm Al Hassam	1-1 HT 0-1	Isa Town
05/12/24 Bahrain Division 2	Isa Town	2-1 HT 0-1	Umm Al Hassam
05/03/24 Bahrain Division 2	Isa Town	3-1 HT 2-0	Umm Al Hassam

Standings · Bahrain Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Budaiya	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
1	Al Tadamun Buri	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Al Ittihad	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Al Hala	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Bahrain SC	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
5	Umm Al Hassam	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
7	Al Shabab Manama	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
8	Busaiteen	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
9	Buri Cultural SC	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
10	Qalali	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
11	Etehad Al Reef	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
12	Isa Town	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Isa Town	Umm Al Hassam
Al Ittifaq Maqaba	1-4 L	1-3 L
Al Tadamun Buri	3-0 W	2-1 W
Qalali	0-1 L	3-0 W
Al Ittihad	0-3 L	1-2 L
Buri Cultural SC	3-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Umm Al Hassam (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isa Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Bahrain SC Bahrain Division 2	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
14/09	Al Budaiya Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/05	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	1-1	1-4	2	1	L
07/05	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	2-0	3-0	11	1	W
01/05	Umm Al Hassam Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
25/04	Etehad Al Reef Bahrain Division 2	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
19/04	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
14/04	Manama Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-4	0	3	L
05/04	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-2	0-3	1	5	L
17/03	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	–	3-4	–	–	L

Umm Al Hassam

DWLDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
14/09	Qalali Bahrain Division 2	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
13/05	Al Ittihad Bahrain Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
07/05	Buri Cultural SC Bahrain Division 2	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
01/05	Isa Town Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
26/04	Busaiteen Bahrain Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
19/04	Al Hala Bahrain Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
14/04	Al Ittifaq Maqaba Bahrain Division 2	0-1	1-3	4	6	L
07/04	Al Tadamun Buri Bahrain Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
15/03	East Riffa Bahrain Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isa Town vs Umm Al Hassam?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Umm Al Hassam win (43%). Probabilities: Isa Town 31%, draw 26%, Umm Al Hassam 43%.

How many goals are expected in Isa Town vs Umm Al Hassam?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Isa Town 1.34 · Umm Al Hassam 1.6), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Isa Town vs Umm Al Hassam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.