Football · Angola Girabola · 05/09, 16:30

Prediction: Academica Do Lobito vs 1º de Maio de Benguela

Team pages: Academica Do Lobito · 1º de Maio de Benguela

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.77Total

Academica Do Lobito0.95

1º de Maio de Benguela0.82

1X2

37% 33% 30%

Academica Do Lobito Draw 1º de Maio de Benguela

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Academica Do Lobito 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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1º de Maio de Benguela 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Academica Do Lobito 1–1 1º de Maio de Benguela (2 last)

Academica Do Lobito0-11º de Maio de Benguela
1º de Maio de Benguela0-1Academica Do Lobito

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academica Do Lobito 1462 · 1º de Maio de Benguela 1512

	Academica Do Lobito	Draw	1º de Maio de Benguela
Our model	36%	36%	28%
Market	38%	31%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.77 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 1º de Maio de Benguela (rating 1462 vs 1512).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academica Do Lobito	1º de Maio de Benguela
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.90

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +15’	2.35	2.90	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academica Do Lobito 1–0–1 1º de Maio de Benguela

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Angola Girabola	Academica Do Lobito	0-1 HT 0-1	1º de Maio de Benguela
25/01/26 Angola Girabola	1º de Maio de Benguela	0-1	Academica Do Lobito

Standings · Angola Girabola

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Primeiro de Agosto	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Petro Luanda	3	2	1	0	5	0	7
3	FC Bravos do Maquis	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Wiliete SC	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
5	GD Interclube	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
6	Desportivo da Huila	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Recreativo do Libolo	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
7	Sagrada Esperanca	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
9	Kabuscorp	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	CD Lunda Sul	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	CR Da Caala	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	FC Luanda	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	1º de Maio de Benguela	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Sao Salvador	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
15	FC Cabinda	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
16	Academica Do Lobito	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academica Do Lobito	1º de Maio de Benguela
Petro Luanda	0-2 L	0-0 D
CD Lunda Sul	1-1 D	1-0 W
RSD Guelson FC	2-0 W	4-1 W
Primeiro de Agosto	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: 1º de Maio de Benguela (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academica Do Lobito

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
23/08	Wiliete SC Angola Girabola	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
24/05	GD Interclube Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/05	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
17/05	Recreativo do Libolo Angola Girabola	–	0-3	–	–	L
14/05	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
06/05	Sao Salvador Angola Girabola	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	RSD Guelson FC Angola Girabola	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Primeiro de Agosto Angola Girabola	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

1º de Maio de Benguela

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Primeiro de Agosto Angola Girabola	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Kabuscorp Angola Girabola	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
24/05	Sagrada Esperanca Angola Girabola	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/05	Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
16/05	Petro Luanda Angola Girabola	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
10/05	Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/05	RSD Guelson FC Angola Girabola	3-1	4-1	1	4	W
02/05	CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Redonda FC Angola Girabola	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/04	Luanda City Angola Girabola	0-0	0-1	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academica Do Lobito vs 1º de Maio de Benguela?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academica Do Lobito win (37%). Probabilities: Academica Do Lobito 37%, draw 33%, 1º de Maio de Benguela 30%.

How many goals are expected in Academica Do Lobito vs 1º de Maio de Benguela?

The model expects 1.77 goals (Academica Do Lobito 0.95 · 1º de Maio de Benguela 0.82), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Academica Do Lobito vs 1º de Maio de Benguela?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.