Football · Angola Girabola · 26/08, 17:30
Prediction: Petro Luanda vs Academica Do Lobito
Team pages: Academica Do Lobito
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Petro Luanda2.11
Academica Do Lobito0.44
1X2
Petro Luanda
Draw
Academica Do Lobito
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Petro Luanda
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Academica Do Lobito
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Petro Luanda
5–1–0
Academica Do Lobito
(6 last)
- Academica Do Lobito1-1Petro Luanda
- Petro Luanda4-0Academica Do Lobito
- Petro Luanda2-0Academica Do Lobito
- Academica Do Lobito0-3Petro Luanda
- Petro Luanda3-0Academica Do Lobito
- Academica Do Lobito0-4Petro Luanda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petro Luanda 1622 · Academica Do Lobito 1462
| Petro Luanda | Draw | Academica Do Lobito | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 18% | 6% |
| Market | 77% | 16% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petro Luanda (rating 1622 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Petro Luanda: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Petro Luanda | Academica Do Lobito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 4.9 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petro Luanda 5–1–0 Academica Do Lobito
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Angola Girabola | Academica Do Lobito | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Petro Luanda |
| 22/04/26 Angola Cup | Petro Luanda | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Academica Do Lobito |
| 10/02/26 Angola Girabola | Petro Luanda | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Academica Do Lobito |
| 04/05/25 Angola Girabola | Academica Do Lobito | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Petro Luanda |
| 01/12/24 Angola Girabola | Petro Luanda | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Academica Do Lobito |
| 20/04/24 Angola Girabola | Academica Do Lobito | 0-4 | Petro Luanda |
Standings · Angola Girabola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo do Libolo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | FC Bravos do Maquis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wiliete SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Primeiro de Agosto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | GD Interclube | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1º de Maio de Benguela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Kabuscorp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Petro Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CD Lunda Sul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | CR Da Caala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Desportivo da Huila | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Sao Salvador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Academica Do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperanca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Petro Luanda | Academica Do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| CD Lunda Sul | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| 1º de Maio de Benguela | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| RSD Guelson FC | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| GD Interclube | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Petro Luanda (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petro Luanda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Desportivo da Huila Angola Girabola |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/05 | Academica Do Lobito Angola Girabola |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | 1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | RSD Guelson FC Angola Girabola |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Redonda FC Angola Girabola |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Luanda City Angola Girabola |
4-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Kabuscorp Angola Girabola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | GD Interclube Angola Girabola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
Academica Do Lobito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Wiliete SC Angola Girabola |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | GD Interclube Angola Girabola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | Petro Luanda Angola Girabola |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Recreativo do Libolo Angola Girabola |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | CD Lunda Sul Angola Girabola |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | 1º de Maio de Benguela Angola Girabola |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Sao Salvador Angola Girabola |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | RSD Guelson FC Angola Girabola |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Primeiro de Agosto Angola Girabola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Wiliete SC Angola Girabola |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petro Luanda vs Academica Do Lobito?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Petro Luanda win (76%). Probabilities: Petro Luanda 76%, draw 17%, Academica Do Lobito 6%.
How many goals are expected in Petro Luanda vs Academica Do Lobito?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Petro Luanda 2.11 · Academica Do Lobito 0.44), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Petro Luanda vs Academica Do Lobito?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.