Football · Nigeria Premier League · 06/09, 17:00
Prediction: Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Nasarawa United1.6
Bendel Insurance0.83
1X2
Nasarawa United
Draw
Bendel Insurance
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nasarawa United
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Bendel Insurance
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nasarawa United
3–2–1
Bendel Insurance
(6 last)
- Nasarawa United1-0Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance0-1Nasarawa United
- Bendel Insurance1-1Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United2-1Bendel Insurance
- Nasarawa United1-1Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance1-0Nasarawa United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nasarawa United 1488 · Bendel Insurance 1517
| Nasarawa United | Draw | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nasarawa United: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nasarawa United | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.5 | 5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nasarawa United 3–2–1 Bendel Insurance
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bendel Insurance |
| 04/10/25 Nigeria Premier League | Bendel Insurance | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nasarawa United |
| 20/04/25 Nigeria Premier League | Bendel Insurance | 1-1 | Nasarawa United |
| 27/11/24 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bendel Insurance |
| 21/05/23 Nigeria Premier League | Nasarawa United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bendel Insurance |
| 15/02/23 Nigeria Premier League | Bendel Insurance | 1-0 | Nasarawa United |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Barau FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Ikorodu City FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Rivers United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Niger Tornadoes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shooting Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Enugu Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Abia Warriors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifat FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Enyimba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Inter Lagos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Nasarawa United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Plateau United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Sporting Lagos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nasarawa United | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Plateau United | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Warri Wolves FC | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Kun Khalifat FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Remo Stars | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nasarawa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Bendel Insurance
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Abia Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nasarawa United win (54%). Probabilities: Nasarawa United 54%, draw 28%, Bendel Insurance 18%.
How many goals are expected in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Nasarawa United 1.6 · Bendel Insurance 0.83), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.