Football · Nigeria Premier League · 06/09, 17:00
Prediction: Plateau United vs Kwara United
Team pages: Plateau United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Plateau United1.52
Kwara United0.55
1X2
Plateau United
Draw
Kwara United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Plateau United
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Kwara United
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Plateau United
2–1–3
Kwara United
(6 last)
- Plateau United1-0Kwara United
- Kwara United2-1Plateau United
- Plateau United0-0Kwara United
- Kwara United2-0Plateau United
- Plateau United2-0Kwara United
- Kwara United2-1Plateau United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Plateau United 1492 · Kwara United 1502
| Plateau United | Draw | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 28% | 12% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kwara United: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plateau United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 17/83/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plateau United 2–1–3 Kwara United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Nigeria Premier League | Plateau United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kwara United |
| 02/10/25 Nigeria Premier League | Kwara United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Plateau United |
| 06/04/25 Nigeria Premier League | Plateau United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kwara United |
| 17/11/24 Nigeria Premier League | Kwara United | 2-0 | Plateau United |
| 08/06/24 Nigeria Premier League | Plateau United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kwara United |
| 21/12/23 Nigeria Premier League | Kwara United | 2-1 | Plateau United |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Barau FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Ikorodu City FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Rivers United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Niger Tornadoes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shooting Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Enugu Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Abia Warriors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Kun Khalifat FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Enyimba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Inter Lagos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Nasarawa United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Plateau United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Sporting Lagos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plateau United | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Kano Pillars | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Nasarawa United | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Bayelsa United | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Enyimba | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plateau United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Bayelsa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Kwara United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Bayelsa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plateau United vs Kwara United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plateau United win (60%). Probabilities: Plateau United 60%, draw 27%, Kwara United 13%.
How many goals are expected in Plateau United vs Kwara United?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Plateau United 1.52 · Kwara United 0.55), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Plateau United vs Kwara United?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.