Prediction: Shabab Al-Sahel vs Tadamon Sour
Team pages: Shabab Al-Sahel · Tadamon Sour
- Tadamon Sour1-2Shabab Al-Sahel
- Tadamon Sour2-1Shabab Al-Sahel
- Shabab Al-Sahel0-0Tadamon Sour
- Shabab Al-Sahel0-2Tadamon Sour
- Tadamon Sour0-1Shabab Al-Sahel
- Tadamon Sour0-0Shabab Al-Sahel
| Shabab Al-Sahel | Draw | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shabab Al-Sahel (rating 1526 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shabab Al-Sahel | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 0.8 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shabab Al-Sahel 2–2–2 Tadamon Sour
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
| 21/11/25 Lebanon Cup | Tadamon Sour | 2-1 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
| 27/09/25 Lebanon League | Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tadamon Sour |
| 26/01/25 Lebanon League | Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tadamon Sour |
| 22/05/24 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
| 21/04/24 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 0-0 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
Standings · Lebanon League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akhaa Ahli Aley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ansar Beirut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagesse SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Mabarrah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Safa Beirut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tadamon Sour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jwaya FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Nejmeh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reyady Abaseya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AC Tripoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shabab Al-Sahel | Tadamon Sour |
|---|---|---|
| Jwaya FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Reyady Abaseya | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Racing Beirut | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sagesse SC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Al Nejmeh | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Al-Mabarrah | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Shabab Al-Sahel (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shabab Al-Sahel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/02 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/02 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/01 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/01 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Tadamon Sour
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
– | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
– | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
– | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shabab Al-Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shabab Al-Sahel win (47%). Probabilities: Shabab Al-Sahel 47%, draw 28%, Tadamon Sour 25%.
How many goals are expected in Shabab Al-Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Shabab Al-Sahel 1.42 · Tadamon Sour 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shabab Al-Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.