Prediction: Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
Team pages: Nkwazi · Green Eagles
- Green Eagles1-0Nkwazi
- Nkwazi1-1Green Eagles
- Green Eagles0-1Nkwazi
- Nkwazi0-0Green Eagles
- Nkwazi2-1Green Eagles
- Green Eagles0-1Nkwazi
| Nkwazi | Draw | Green Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 37% | 34% |
| Market | 31% | 33% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Green Eagles (rating 1477 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Nkwazi: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nkwazi | Green Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nkwazi 3–2–1 Green Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nkwazi |
| 04/10/25 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Green Eagles |
| 08/02/25 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nkwazi |
| 28/09/24 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Green Eagles |
| 01/06/24 Zambia Super League | Nkwazi | 2-1 | Green Eagles |
| 23/12/23 Zambia Super League | Green Eagles | 0-1 | Nkwazi |
Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Eagles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Red Arrows FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Chirundu United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Roan United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | ZESCO United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | Mufulira Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Mutondo Stars | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nkwazi | Green Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Green Buffaloes | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Roan United | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| ZESCO United | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Power Dynamos | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Green Eagles (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nkwazi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Chirundu United Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Roan United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Leopards Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Maestro United Zambia Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Kansanshi Dynamos Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Nchanga Rangers Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Power Dynamos Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | NAPSA Stars Zambia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Green Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Roan United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Mines United FC Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Power Dynamos Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | Red Arrows FC Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | ZESCO United Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Zanaco FC Zambia Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Green Eagles win (35%). Probabilities: Nkwazi 30%, draw 35%, Green Eagles 35%.
How many goals are expected in Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
The model expects 1.66 goals (Nkwazi 0.79 · Green Eagles 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nkwazi vs Green Eagles?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.