Prediction: ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars
Team pages: ZESCO United · Mutondo Stars
- Mutondo Stars1-0ZESCO United
- ZESCO United3-0Mutondo Stars
- Mutondo Stars1-0ZESCO United
- ZESCO United2-0Mutondo Stars
- ZESCO United0-0Mutondo Stars
- Mutondo Stars1-2ZESCO United
| ZESCO United | Draw | Mutondo Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 14% |
| Market | 58% | 27% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ZESCO United (rating 1519 vs 1458).
- H2H favours ZESCO United: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ZESCO United | Mutondo Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 8.8 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ZESCO United 3–1–2 Mutondo Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Zambia Super League | Mutondo Stars | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ZESCO United |
| 23/08/25 Zambia Super League | ZESCO United | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Mutondo Stars |
| 04/05/25 Zambia Super League | Mutondo Stars | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ZESCO United |
| 14/12/24 Zambia Super League | ZESCO United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Mutondo Stars |
| 21/04/24 Zambia Super League | ZESCO United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mutondo Stars |
| 11/11/23 Zambia Super League | Mutondo Stars | 1-2 | ZESCO United |
Standings · Zambia Super League · Super League 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Eagles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Red Arrows FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kabwe Warriors | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Chirundu United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Roan United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | ZESCO United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | Mufulira Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | Mutondo Stars | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ZESCO United | Mutondo Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Mufulira Wanderers | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Green Eagles | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Kabwe Warriors | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Mines United FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ZESCO United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ZESCO United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Zanaco FC Zambia Super League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Mines United FC Zambia Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Nkana FC Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/05 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Nkwazi Zambia Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | FC Leopards Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Mutondo Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Chirundu United Zambia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Kabwe Warriors Zambia Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Red Arrows FC Zambia Super League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | NAPSA Stars Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Mines United FC Zambia Super League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Power Dynamos Zambia Super League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Red Arrows FC Zambia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Mufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/04 | Green Eagles Zambia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Green Buffaloes Zambia Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ZESCO United win (58%). Probabilities: ZESCO United 58%, draw 27%, Mutondo Stars 14%.
How many goals are expected in ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars?
The model expects 2.22 goals (ZESCO United 1.56 · Mutondo Stars 0.65), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ZESCO United vs Mutondo Stars?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.