Football · Tunisia League 1 · 16/09, 17:00
Prediction: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien
Team pages: US Ben Guerdane · CS Sfaxien
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
US Ben Guerdane0.82
CS Sfaxien0.99
1X2
US Ben Guerdane
Draw
CS Sfaxien
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CS Sfaxien
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Ben Guerdane
1–5
CS Sfaxien
(6 last)
- US Ben Guerdane0-1CS Sfaxien
- CS Sfaxien2-1US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane1-0CS Sfaxien
- US Ben Guerdane0-2CS Sfaxien
- CS Sfaxien1-0US Ben Guerdane
- CS Sfaxien1-0US Ben Guerdane
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Ben Guerdane 1486 · CS Sfaxien 1585
| US Ben Guerdane | Draw | CS Sfaxien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 35% | 37% |
| Market | 29% | 33% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Sfaxien (rating 1486 vs 1585).
- H2H favours CS Sfaxien: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Ben Guerdane | CS Sfaxien | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ben Guerdane 1–0–5 CS Sfaxien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CS Sfaxien |
| 17/09/25 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 2-1 HT 0-1 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 27/04/25 Tunisia Cup | US Ben Guerdane | 1-0 | CS Sfaxien |
| 02/02/25 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CS Sfaxien |
| 25/09/24 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 1-0 HT 0-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 08/06/23 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 1-0 HT 0-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Bizertin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | JS Omrane | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Club Africain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | US Monastir | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Avenir de La Marsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Stade Tunisien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | CS Sfaxien | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | US Ben Guerdane | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | ES Metlaoui | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Olympique de Beja | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | ES Hammam Sousse | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | CS Hammam Lif | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Ben Guerdane | CS Sfaxien |
|---|---|---|
| US Monastir | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Olympique de Beja | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Esperance de Tunis | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Stade Tunisien | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| AS Soliman | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| JS Kairouanaise | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CS Sfaxien (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Ben Guerdane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
CS Sfaxien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Sfaxien win (38%). Probabilities: US Ben Guerdane 28%, draw 34%, CS Sfaxien 38%.
How many goals are expected in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?
The model expects 1.82 goals (US Ben Guerdane 0.82 · CS Sfaxien 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.