Football · Tunisia League 1 · 16/09, 17:00

Prediction: ES Zarzis vs US Monastir

Team pages: ES Zarzis · US Monastir

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
ES Zarzis0.95
US Monastir0.77
1X2
38% 34% 28%
ES Zarzis Draw US Monastir
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
ES Zarzis 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWLWWWWL
US Monastir 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLWDWD
Head-to-head
ES Zarzis 1–2–3 US Monastir (6 last)
  • US Monastir0-0ES Zarzis
  • US Monastir3-0ES Zarzis
  • ES Zarzis0-1US Monastir
  • ES Zarzis1-2US Monastir
  • US Monastir0-0ES Zarzis
  • US Monastir0-1ES Zarzis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ES Zarzis 1526 · US Monastir 1505
ES ZarzisDrawUS Monastir
Our model37%36%27%
Market39%32%29%
Estimated total (ours) 1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours US Monastir: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ES ZarzisUS Monastir
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.71 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.14.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · ES Zarzis 123 US Monastir

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Tunisia Cup
US Monastir0-0
HT 0-0
ES Zarzis
15/02/26
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir3-0
HT 1-0
ES Zarzis
17/09/25
Tunisia League 1
ES Zarzis0-1
HT 0-1
US Monastir
13/03/25
Tunisia League 1
ES Zarzis1-2
HT 0-2
US Monastir
01/12/24
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir0-0
HT 0-0
ES Zarzis
13/04/22
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir0-1
HT 0-1
ES Zarzis

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Esperance de Tunis 4301 769
2 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 4220 418
3 Bizertin 3210 317
4 JS Omrane 4211 547
5 Club Africain 2200 206
6 US Monastir 3120 545
7 Avenir de La Marsa 4112 234
8 Stade Tunisien 3111 544
9 CS Sfaxien 2110 324
10 US Ben Guerdane 2110 544
11 Etoile Sportive Sahel 4112 564
12 ES Zarzis 2101 223
13 ES Metlaoui 4103 243
14 Olympique de Beja 4022 352
15 ES Hammam Sousse 4013 151
16 CS Hammam Lif 3003 030

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentES ZarzisUS Monastir
ES Metlaoui 1-0 W 0-1 L
Stade Tunisien 0-0 D 2-1 W
AS Soliman 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Monastir (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ES Zarzis

LDDWLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-2 62 L
23/08 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 104 W
13/05 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 23 W
09/05 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 W
04/05 Etoile Sportive Sahel
Tunisia League 1
1-1 3-1 44 W
30/04 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 33 L
26/04 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 52 W
23/04 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
2-2 2-2 05 D
04/04 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 36 D
06/03 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 53 L

US Monastir

DDLWLLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
1-2 3-3 85 D
29/08 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
2-1 2-1 14 W
22/08 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
14/05 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
1-0 3-0 W
08/05 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 L
04/05 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 126 L
29/04 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 65 W
25/04 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
11/04 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
04/04 JS Omrane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ES Zarzis vs US Monastir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ES Zarzis win (38%). Probabilities: ES Zarzis 38%, draw 34%, US Monastir 28%.

How many goals are expected in ES Zarzis vs US Monastir?

The model expects 1.71 goals (ES Zarzis 0.95 · US Monastir 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ES Zarzis vs US Monastir?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.