Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 05/09, 16:30

Prediction: FK Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Sarajevo

Team pages: FK Drina Zvornik · Slavija Sarajevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FK Drina Zvornik1.95

Slavija Sarajevo0.93

1X2

60% 24% 16%

FK Drina Zvornik Draw Slavija Sarajevo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Drina Zvornik 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWDLDW

Slavija Sarajevo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLDLW

Head-to-head

FK Drina Zvornik 2–4 Slavija Sarajevo (6 last)

FK Drina Zvornik2-1Slavija Sarajevo
FK Drina Zvornik4-0Slavija Sarajevo
Slavija Sarajevo1-0FK Drina Zvornik
FK Drina Zvornik1-2Slavija Sarajevo
Slavija Sarajevo2-0FK Drina Zvornik
Slavija Sarajevo2-1FK Drina Zvornik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Drina Zvornik 1522 · Slavija Sarajevo 1480

	FK Drina Zvornik	Draw	Slavija Sarajevo
Our model	60%	24%	16%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Drina Zvornik (rating 1522 vs 1480).
H2H favours Slavija Sarajevo: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Drina Zvornik	Slavija Sarajevo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.6	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:07 +7’	1.50	3.80	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Drina Zvornik 2–0–4 Slavija Sarajevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	2-1 HT 1-1	Slavija Sarajevo
04/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	4-0	Slavija Sarajevo
04/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Slavija Sarajevo	1-0	FK Drina Zvornik
24/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	1-2 HT 1-0	Slavija Sarajevo
16/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Slavija Sarajevo	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Drina Zvornik
24/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Slavija Sarajevo	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Drina Zvornik

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
2	FK Laktasi	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	Romanija Pale	3	2	0	1	6	7	6
4	FK Kozara Gradiska	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
5	FK Drina Zvornik	3	1	1	1	11	4	4
6	Leotar	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
7	Slavija Sarajevo	3	1	1	1	4	6	4
8	FK Rudar Prijedor	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	Sutjeska Foca	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Zvijezda 09	3	1	0	2	3	6	3
11	FK Majevica Lopare	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	FK Omarska	3	0	1	2	2	5	1
13	FC Velez Nevesinje	3	0	1	2	1	10	1
14	FK Famos Vojkovici	2	0	0	2	0	2	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Drina Zvornik	Slavija Sarajevo
FC Velez Nevesinje	8-0 W	1-1 D
Leotar	2-2 D	0-0 D
BSK Banja Luka	2-3 L	0-1 L
FK Kozara Gradiska	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Laktasi	0-0 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Drina Zvornik

LWDDLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	4-0	8-0	3	0	W
29/08	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	13	4	L
30/05	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
20/05	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/05	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-3	–	–	L
09/05	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/05	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	3-1	6	10	W
18/04	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Slavija Sarajevo

LWLDWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
29/08	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/08	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-3	1-3	8	1	L
20/05	FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
16/05	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-0	–	–	W
10/05	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
02/05	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
18/04	FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Sarajevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Drina Zvornik win (60%). Probabilities: FK Drina Zvornik 60%, draw 24%, Slavija Sarajevo 16%.

How many goals are expected in FK Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Sarajevo?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FK Drina Zvornik 1.95 · Slavija Sarajevo 0.93), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Drina Zvornik vs Slavija Sarajevo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.