Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 11/09, 16:30
Prediction: Romanija Pale vs Zvijezda 09
Team pages: Romanija Pale · Zvijezda 09
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
Romanija Pale2.21
Zvijezda 091.33
1X2
Romanija Pale
Draw
Zvijezda 09
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Romanija Pale
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Zvijezda 09
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Romanija Pale
2–1–2
Zvijezda 09
(5 last)
- Romanija Pale2-4Zvijezda 09
- Romanija Pale3-0Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 091-0Romanija Pale
- Romanija Pale0-0Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 090-1Romanija Pale
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Romanija Pale 1448 · Zvijezda 09 1461
| Romanija Pale | Draw | Zvijezda 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Romanija Pale | Zvijezda 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.5 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Romanija Pale 2–1–2 Zvijezda 09
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Romanija Pale | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 27/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Romanija Pale | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 30/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Romanija Pale |
| 05/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Romanija Pale | 0-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 14/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Romanija Pale |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Romanija Pale | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | FK Drina Zvornik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Leotar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | FK Potkozarje | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | FK Majevica Lopare | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Slavija Sarajevo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Zvijezda 09 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 2 |
| 14 | FK Omarska | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Romanija Pale | Zvijezda 09 |
|---|---|---|
| FK Omarska | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Velez Nevesinje | 3-4 L | 6-1 W |
| Sutjeska Foca | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FK Vlasenica | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zvijezda 09 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Romanija Pale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 10 | L |
Zvijezda 09
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Romanija Pale vs Zvijezda 09?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Romanija Pale win (56%). Probabilities: Romanija Pale 56%, draw 23%, Zvijezda 09 21%.
How many goals are expected in Romanija Pale vs Zvijezda 09?
The model expects 3.54 goals (Romanija Pale 2.21 · Zvijezda 09 1.33), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Romanija Pale vs Zvijezda 09?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.