Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 02/09, 16:39

Prediction: FC Velez Nevesinje vs FK Drina Zvornik

Team pages: FK Drina Zvornik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

FC Velez Nevesinje1.48

FK Drina Zvornik1.6

1X2

34% 26% 40%

FC Velez Nevesinje Draw FK Drina Zvornik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Velez Nevesinje 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWWDL

FK Drina Zvornik 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWDLD

Head-to-head

FC Velez Nevesinje 2–4 FK Drina Zvornik (6 last)

FC Velez Nevesinje1-2FK Drina Zvornik
FK Drina Zvornik0-1FC Velez Nevesinje
FK Drina Zvornik4-1FC Velez Nevesinje
FC Velez Nevesinje0-2FK Drina Zvornik
FK Drina Zvornik3-1FC Velez Nevesinje
FC Velez Nevesinje1-0FK Drina Zvornik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Velez Nevesinje 1512 · FK Drina Zvornik 1487

	FC Velez Nevesinje	Draw	FK Drina Zvornik
Our model	34%	26%	40%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Drina Zvornik: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Velez Nevesinje	FK Drina Zvornik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 4.3	3.8 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +12’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Velez Nevesinje 2–0–4 FK Drina Zvornik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FC Velez Nevesinje	1-2	FK Drina Zvornik
27/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Velez Nevesinje
19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	4-1 HT 3-1	FC Velez Nevesinje
28/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FC Velez Nevesinje	0-2	FK Drina Zvornik
06/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	3-1	FC Velez Nevesinje
20/09/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FC Velez Nevesinje	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Drina Zvornik

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
2	FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	FK Kozara Gradiska	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	FK Rudar Prijedor	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
5	Sutjeska Foca	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Romanija Pale	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
7	Zvijezda 09	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
8	Leotar	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
9	FK Majevica Lopare	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	FK Drina Zvornik	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
11	FC Velez Nevesinje	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	FK Omarska	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
13	Slavija Sarajevo	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
14	FK Famos Vojkovici	2	0	0	2	0	2	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Velez Nevesinje	FK Drina Zvornik
Slavija Sarajevo	1-1 D	2-1 W
Romanija Pale	4-3 W	1-2 L
FK Kozara Gradiska	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Velez Nevesinje

DWWLWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-3	–	–	W
27/05	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	6-2	2	0	W
23/05	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-3	1-6	2	6	L
19/05	FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-1	9	1	W
10/05	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
02/05	FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/04	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D

FK Drina Zvornik

LLWDDLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	13	4	L
30/05	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
20/05	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/05	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-3	–	–	L
09/05	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/05	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	3-1	6	10	W
18/04	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Velez Nevesinje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Drina Zvornik win (40%). Probabilities: FC Velez Nevesinje 34%, draw 26%, FK Drina Zvornik 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Velez Nevesinje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model expects 3.08 goals (FC Velez Nevesinje 1.48 · FK Drina Zvornik 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Velez Nevesinje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.