Prediction: Nam Dinh vs Ninh Binh
Team pages: Nam Dinh · Ninh Binh
- Nam Dinh3-2Ninh Binh
- Ninh Binh2-0Nam Dinh
- Nam Dinh2-1Ninh Binh
| Nam Dinh | Draw | Ninh Binh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ninh Binh (rating 1468 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Nam Dinh: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nam Dinh | Ninh Binh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nam Dinh 2–0–1 Ninh Binh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Vietnam V-League | Nam Dinh | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Ninh Binh |
| 22/09/25 Vietnam V-League | Ninh Binh | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Nam Dinh |
| 12/03/21 Europe Friendlies | Nam Dinh | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ninh Binh |
Standings · Vietnam V-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cong An Ha Noi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Ninh Binh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Song Lam Nghe An | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Da Nang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Thanh Hoa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Bac Ninh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Viettel FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Hai Phong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Cong An HCMC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Nam Dinh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ha Noi FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Dong Nai City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nam Dinh | Ninh Binh |
|---|---|---|
| Hai Phong | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Song Lam Nghe An | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ha Noi FC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Viettel FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cong An HCMC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nam Dinh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Viettel FC Vietnam V-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Ninh Binh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Viettel FC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nam Dinh vs Ninh Binh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ninh Binh win (44%). Probabilities: Nam Dinh 30%, draw 25%, Ninh Binh 44%.
How many goals are expected in Nam Dinh vs Ninh Binh?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Nam Dinh 1.45 · Ninh Binh 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nam Dinh vs Ninh Binh?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.