Prediction: Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa
Team pages: Hai Phong · Thanh Hoa
- Hai Phong3-3Thanh Hoa
- Thanh Hoa2-2Hai Phong
- Hai Phong2-1Thanh Hoa
- Thanh Hoa0-1Hai Phong
- Thanh Hoa3-1Hai Phong
- Thanh Hoa1-1Hai Phong
| Hai Phong | Draw | Thanh Hoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Hai Phong: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hai Phong | Thanh Hoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hai Phong 2–3–1 Thanh Hoa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Vietnam V-League | Hai Phong | 3-3 HT 0-0 | Thanh Hoa |
| 20/09/25 Vietnam V-League | Thanh Hoa | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Hai Phong |
| 16/05/25 Vietnam V-League | Hai Phong | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Thanh Hoa |
| 04/03/25 Vietnam Cup | Thanh Hoa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hai Phong |
| 30/09/24 Vietnam V-League | Thanh Hoa | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Hai Phong |
| 29/04/24 Vietnam Cup | Thanh Hoa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hai Phong |
Standings · Vietnam V-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cong An Ha Noi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Ninh Binh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Song Lam Nghe An | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Da Nang | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Thanh Hoa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Bac Ninh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Viettel FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Hai Phong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Cong An HCMC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Nam Dinh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ha Noi FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Dong Nai City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hai Phong | Thanh Hoa |
|---|---|---|
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ninh Binh | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| PVF-CAND | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Da Nang | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Becamex HCMC | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Cong An Ha Noi | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Thanh Hoa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hai Phong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Nam Dinh Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Thanh Hoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hai Phong win (50%). Probabilities: Hai Phong 50%, draw 27%, Thanh Hoa 24%.
How many goals are expected in Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Hai Phong 1.66 · Thanh Hoa 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hai Phong vs Thanh Hoa?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.