Football · Vietnam V-League · 23/10, 12:00

Prediction: Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An

Team pages: Hoang Anh Gia Lai · Song Lam Nghe An

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Hoang Anh Gia Lai1.3
Song Lam Nghe An1.54
1X2
30% 28% 41%
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Draw Song Lam Nghe An
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLDWLLLWL
Song Lam Nghe An 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLWWDD
Head-to-head
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–1–2 Song Lam Nghe An (6 last)
  • Song Lam Nghe An0-1Hoang Anh Gia Lai
  • Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-1Song Lam Nghe An
  • Song Lam Nghe An3-2Hoang Anh Gia Lai
  • Hoang Anh Gia Lai2-0Song Lam Nghe An
  • Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-0Song Lam Nghe An
  • Song Lam Nghe An1-0Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1449 · Song Lam Nghe An 1501
Hoang Anh Gia LaiDrawSong Lam Nghe An
Our model31%27%42%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Song Lam Nghe An (rating 1449 vs 1501).
  • H2H favours Hoang Anh Gia Lai: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hoang Anh Gia LaiSong Lam Nghe An
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 21.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.20.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.51.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.33.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–1–2 Song Lam Nghe An

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An0-1
HT 0-0
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
03/10/25
Vietnam V-League
Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-1
HT 1-0
Song Lam Nghe An
15/06/25
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An3-2
HT 0-2
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
21/09/24
Vietnam V-League
Hoang Anh Gia Lai2-0
HT 1-0
Song Lam Nghe An
09/05/24
Vietnam V-League
Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-0
HT 1-0
Song Lam Nghe An
17/12/23
Vietnam V-League
Song Lam Nghe An1-0
HT 1-0
Hoang Anh Gia Lai

Standings · Vietnam V-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ninh Binh 4310 11610
2 Cong An Ha Noi 5311 8310
3 Song Lam Nghe An 4220 848
4 Nam Dinh 4211 747
5 Cong An HCMC 4211 537
6 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 4211 657
7 Thanh Hoa 5212 787
8 Hai Phong 4202 1086
9 Ha Noi FC 4202 586
10 Bac Ninh 4112 124
11 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 4103 7113
12 Viettel FC 4103 353
13 Da Nang 4103 6113
14 Dong Nai City 4013 061

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHoang Anh Gia LaiSong Lam Nghe An
Ninh Binh 3-4 L 1-2 L
Nam Dinh 0-4 L 0-3 L
Becamex HCMC 1-3 L 1-0 W
Ha Noi FC 3-1 W 4-1 W
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0-2 L 2-2 D
PVF-CAND 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Song Lam Nghe An (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

WLLDWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
2-2 3-4 77 L
10/10 Da Nang
Vietnam V-League
1-0 3-0 45 W
13/09 Hai Phong
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-3 83 L
06/09 Nam Dinh
Vietnam V-League
0-3 0-4 44 L
07/06 Becamex HCMC
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-3 15 L
31/05 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 3-1 15 W
23/05 Thanh Hoa
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-1 51 D
17/05 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Vietnam V-League
0-1 0-2 73 L
10/05 PVF-CAND
Vietnam V-League
1-2 1-2 41 L
03/05 Song Lam Nghe An
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 46 W

Song Lam Nghe An

LLLWLLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Vietnam V-League
2-1 2-2 10 D
11/10 Cong An HCMC
Vietnam V-League
0-1 1-1 63 D
12/09 Ha Noi FC
Vietnam V-League
1-0 4-1 45 W
06/09 Bac Ninh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 64 W
07/06 PVF-CAND
Vietnam V-League
0-2 1-3 10 L
31/05 Nam Dinh
Vietnam V-League
0-2 0-3 43 L
24/05 Becamex HCMC
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-0 58 W
16/05 Ninh Binh
Vietnam V-League
0-0 1-2 61 L
10/05 Cong An HCMC
Vietnam V-League
1-1 1-3 35 L
03/05 Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Vietnam V-League
0-0 0-1 86 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Song Lam Nghe An win (41%). Probabilities: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 30%, draw 28%, Song Lam Nghe An 41%.

How many goals are expected in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.3 · Song Lam Nghe An 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.