Prediction: Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An
Team pages: Hoang Anh Gia Lai · Song Lam Nghe An
- Song Lam Nghe An0-1Hoang Anh Gia Lai
- Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-1Song Lam Nghe An
- Song Lam Nghe An3-2Hoang Anh Gia Lai
- Hoang Anh Gia Lai2-0Song Lam Nghe An
- Hoang Anh Gia Lai1-0Song Lam Nghe An
- Song Lam Nghe An1-0Hoang Anh Gia Lai
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | Draw | Song Lam Nghe An | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Song Lam Nghe An (rating 1449 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Hoang Anh Gia Lai: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | Song Lam Nghe An | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–1–2 Song Lam Nghe An
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Vietnam V-League | Song Lam Nghe An | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai |
| 03/10/25 Vietnam V-League | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Song Lam Nghe An |
| 15/06/25 Vietnam V-League | Song Lam Nghe An | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai |
| 21/09/24 Vietnam V-League | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Song Lam Nghe An |
| 09/05/24 Vietnam V-League | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Song Lam Nghe An |
| 17/12/23 Vietnam V-League | Song Lam Nghe An | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai |
Standings · Vietnam V-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ninh Binh | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Cong An Ha Noi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Song Lam Nghe An | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Nam Dinh | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Cong An HCMC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Thanh Hoa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Hai Phong | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ha Noi FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Bac Ninh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Viettel FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Da Nang | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Dong Nai City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | Song Lam Nghe An |
|---|---|---|
| Ninh Binh | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Nam Dinh | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Becamex HCMC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Ha Noi FC | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| PVF-CAND | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Song Lam Nghe An (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Da Nang Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Hai Phong Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Dinh Vietnam V-League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Song Lam Nghe An
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 11/10 | Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | PVF-CAND Vietnam V-League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Nam Dinh Vietnam V-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Cong An HCMC Vietnam V-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Song Lam Nghe An win (41%). Probabilities: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 30%, draw 28%, Song Lam Nghe An 41%.
How many goals are expected in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.3 · Song Lam Nghe An 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

