Football · Vietnam V-League · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Nam Dinh

Team pages: Hong Linh Ha Tinh · Nam Dinh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Hong Linh Ha Tinh0.95

Nam Dinh1.39

1X2

25% 29% 46%

Hong Linh Ha Tinh Draw Nam Dinh

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hong Linh Ha Tinh 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWWDWD

Nam Dinh 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLDWWW

Head-to-head

Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1–1–4 Nam Dinh (6 last)

Hong Linh Ha Tinh0-2Nam Dinh
Nam Dinh1-1Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Nam Dinh1-0Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1-0Nam Dinh
Nam Dinh1-0Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Hong Linh Ha Tinh2-4Nam Dinh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1520 · Nam Dinh 1537

	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	Draw	Nam Dinh
Our model	24%	30%	46%
Market	25%	28%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nam Dinh: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	Nam Dinh
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.20

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.60▲	Pinn 4.46 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 1.95▼	Pinn 1.97

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +5’	3.20	3.10	2.10
07:58 +3’	3.30▲	3.20▲	2.05▼
09:55 +7’	3.60▲	3.20	1.95▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +12’	3.84	2.66	2.23
23:33 +29’	3.83▼	2.68▲	2.22▼
00:30 +35’	3.83	2.69▲	2.22
04:52 +10’	3.96▲	2.70▲	2.16▼
08:46 +16’	4.16▲	2.75▲	2.08▼
09:58 +4’	4.22▲	2.77▲	2.05▼
10:32 +29’	4.46▲	2.94▲	1.97▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1–1–4 Nam Dinh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	0-2 HT 0-1	Nam Dinh
09/02/26 Vietnam V-League	Nam Dinh	1-1 HT 1-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
22/06/25 Vietnam V-League	Nam Dinh	1-0 HT 1-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
14/09/24 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	1-0 HT 1-0	Nam Dinh
20/06/24 Vietnam V-League	Nam Dinh	1-0 HT 0-0	Hong Linh Ha Tinh
03/12/23 Vietnam V-League	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	2-4 HT 1-2	Nam Dinh

Standings · Vietnam V-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nam Dinh	7	5	1	1	16	6	16
2	Song Lam Nghe An	6	3	3	0	11	5	12
3	Cong An Ha Noi	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
4	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
5	Cong An HCMC	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
6	Ninh Binh	6	3	1	2	12	9	10
7	Hai Phong	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
8	Da Nang	7	3	0	4	8	12	9
9	Ha Noi FC	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
10	Bac Ninh	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
11	Thanh Hoa	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Viettel FC	6	1	1	4	6	10	4
13	Dong Nai City	7	1	1	5	1	11	4
14	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	6	1	0	5	7	14	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	Nam Dinh
Thanh Hoa	1-1 D	2-0 W
Hai Phong	2-1 W	1-1 D
Song Lam Nghe An	2-2 D	3-0 W
Viettel FC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Ninh Binh	0-3 L	1-1 D
Da Nang	0-0 D	0-3 L
Hoang Anh Gia Lai	2-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nam Dinh (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hong Linh Ha Tinh

WDDLLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
24/10	Hai Phong Vietnam V-League	0-0	2-1	2	1	W
17/10	Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
08/10	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
13/09	Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
05/09	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
07/06	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-3	8	3	L
31/05	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Cong An Ha Noi Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
17/05	Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League	1-0	2-0	7	3	W

Nam Dinh

LLWDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	3-1	6	6	W
24/10	Dong Nai City Vietnam V-League	0-0	4-0	11	2	W
17/10	Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/10	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/09	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
06/09	Hoang Anh Gia Lai Vietnam V-League	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
07/06	Hai Phong Vietnam V-League	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
31/05	Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
24/05	Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-2	2	1	L
17/05	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-2	0-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Nam Dinh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nam Dinh win (46%). Probabilities: Hong Linh Ha Tinh 25%, draw 29%, Nam Dinh 46%.

How many goals are expected in Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Nam Dinh?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0.95 · Nam Dinh 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hong Linh Ha Tinh vs Nam Dinh?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.