Football · Vietnam V-League · 07/11, 13:15

Prediction: Cong An Ha Noi vs Cong An HCMC

Team pages: Cong An Ha Noi · Cong An HCMC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Cong An Ha Noi1.88

Cong An HCMC0.68

1X2

65% 22% 12%

Cong An Ha Noi Draw Cong An HCMC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cong An Ha Noi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWLDD

Cong An HCMC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Cong An Ha Noi 3–1–2 Cong An HCMC (6 last)

Cong An Ha Noi5-0Cong An HCMC
Cong An HCMC0-3Cong An Ha Noi
Cong An Ha Noi1-0Cong An HCMC
Cong An Ha Noi0-0Cong An HCMC
Cong An HCMC2-1Cong An Ha Noi
Cong An HCMC2-1Cong An Ha Noi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cong An Ha Noi 1565 · Cong An HCMC 1519

	Cong An Ha Noi	Draw	Cong An HCMC
Our model	65%	23%	12%
Market	66%	21%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cong An Ha Noi (rating 1565 vs 1519).
H2H favours Cong An Ha Noi: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cong An Ha Noi	Cong An HCMC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.2	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.20

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.46 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.46
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +4’	1.36	4.20	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +28’	1.46	4.46	5.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cong An Ha Noi 3–1–2 Cong An HCMC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Vietnam Super Cup	Cong An Ha Noi	5-0 HT 3-0	Cong An HCMC
19/04/26 Vietnam V-League	Cong An HCMC	0-3 HT 0-1	Cong An Ha Noi
27/10/25 Vietnam V-League	Cong An Ha Noi	1-0 HT 1-0	Cong An HCMC
18/04/25 Vietnam V-League	Cong An Ha Noi	0-0 HT 0-0	Cong An HCMC
16/11/24 Vietnam V-League	Cong An HCMC	2-1 HT 0-0	Cong An Ha Noi
21/05/24 Vietnam V-League	Cong An HCMC	2-1 HT 1-0	Cong An Ha Noi

Standings · Vietnam V-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nam Dinh	7	5	1	1	16	6	16
2	Song Lam Nghe An	6	3	3	0	11	5	12
3	Cong An Ha Noi	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
4	Hong Linh Ha Tinh	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
5	Cong An HCMC	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
6	Ninh Binh	6	3	1	2	12	9	10
7	Hai Phong	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
8	Da Nang	7	3	0	4	8	12	9
9	Ha Noi FC	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
10	Bac Ninh	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
11	Thanh Hoa	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Viettel FC	6	1	1	4	6	10	4
13	Dong Nai City	7	1	1	5	1	11	4
14	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	6	1	0	5	7	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cong An Ha Noi	Cong An HCMC
Song Lam Nghe An	1-1 D	1-1 D
Ha Noi FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Viettel FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cong An HCMC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cong An Ha Noi

WDWLWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
22/10	Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-1	12	0	D
18/10	Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
20/09	Dong Nai City Vietnam V-League	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
10/09	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
05/09	Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
07/06	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
31/05	Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
24/05	Hong Linh Ha Tinh Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
17/05	Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League	0-0	2-0	3	10	W

Cong An HCMC

DDDDWLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
25/10	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/10	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
11/10	Song Lam Nghe An Vietnam V-League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
11/09	Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
05/09	Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League	1-0	3-1	0	1	W
07/06	Ha Noi FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
31/05	Viettel FC Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
23/05	Ninh Binh Vietnam V-League	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/05	Da Nang Vietnam V-League	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cong An Ha Noi vs Cong An HCMC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cong An Ha Noi win (65%). Probabilities: Cong An Ha Noi 65%, draw 22%, Cong An HCMC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Cong An Ha Noi vs Cong An HCMC?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Cong An Ha Noi 1.88 · Cong An HCMC 0.68), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cong An Ha Noi vs Cong An HCMC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.