Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 04/09, 15:00

Prediction: Real Native FC vs Midlands Wanderers FC

Team pages: Midlands Wanderers FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Real Native FC1.46
Midlands Wanderers FC1.13
1X2
42% 30% 27%
Real Native FC Draw Midlands Wanderers FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Native FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWLWWWWL
Midlands Wanderers FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWLDDLLW
Head-to-head
Real Native FC 0–2–0 Midlands Wanderers FC (2 last)
  • Midlands Wanderers FC3-3Real Native FC
  • Real Native FC0-0Midlands Wanderers FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Native FC 1525 · Midlands Wanderers FC 1476
Real Native FCDrawMidlands Wanderers FC
Our model43%29%28%
Market42%32%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Native FC (rating 1525 vs 1476).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real Native FCMidlands Wanderers FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.21.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.40.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/57/0%25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.61.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 02.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Native FC 020 Midlands Wanderers FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
South Africa National Div 1
Midlands Wanderers FC3-3
HT 1-2
Real Native FC
21/01/26
South Africa National Div 1
Real Native FC0-0
HT 0-0
Midlands Wanderers FC

Standings · South Africa National Div 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Highbury FC 2200 316
2 Magesi FC 2200 206
3 Lerumo Lions 2110 314
4 Gomora United 2110 324
4 Upington City 2110 324
6 Leicesterford City FC 2110 214
7 Midlands Wanderers FC 2101 213
8 Real Native FC 2101 333
9 Seapoint Swifts FC 2101 113
10 Hungry Lions FC 2020 222
11 Cape Town City 2011 231
12 Venda Football Academy 2011 121
13 Orbit College 2011 011
14 North West University Mafikeng 2011 131
15 The Bees FC 2002 130
16 Pretoria University 2002 030

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal Native FCMidlands Wanderers FC
Upington City 1-2 L 2-1 W
Gomora United 3-1 W 1-1 D
Highbury FC 3-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Native FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Native FC

DDLWLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Upington City
South Africa National Div 1
1-2 L
21/08 Cape Town City
South Africa National Div 1
1-1 2-1 64 W
17/05 Gomora United
South Africa National Div 1
1-1 3-1 124 W
10/05 Upington City
South Africa National Div 1
2-0 W
01/05 Baroka FC
South Africa National Div 1
0-0 2-0 120 W
25/04 Leicesterford City FC
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 1-2 62 L
21/04 Highbury FC
South Africa National Div 1
3-0 3-0 33 W
17/04 Black Leopards
South Africa National Div 1
0-0 0-2 72 L
11/04 Midlands Wanderers FC
South Africa National Div 1
2-1 3-3 03 D
08/04 Milford FC
South Africa National Div 1
1-1 D

Midlands Wanderers FC

DLWWLDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Pretoria University
South Africa National Div 1
2-0 2-0 33 W
22/08 Magesi FC
South Africa National Div 1
0-1 L
17/05 Pretoria University
South Africa National Div 1
1-3 2-6 32 L
10/05 Lerumo Lions
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 1-1 51 D
06/05 Gomora United
South Africa National Div 1
0-0 1-1 53 D
01/05 Highbury FC
South Africa National Div 1
0-1 1-3 54 L
26/04 Venda Football Academy
South Africa National Div 1
0-0 1-0 34 W
21/04 Upington City
South Africa National Div 1
0-1 2-1 45 W
18/04 Kruger United
South Africa National Div 1
0-3 L
11/04 Real Native FC
South Africa National Div 1
1-2 3-3 03 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Native FC vs Midlands Wanderers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Native FC win (42%). Probabilities: Real Native FC 42%, draw 30%, Midlands Wanderers FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Real Native FC vs Midlands Wanderers FC?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Real Native FC 1.46 · Midlands Wanderers FC 1.13), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Native FC vs Midlands Wanderers FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.