Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: Lerumo Lions vs Real Native FC
Team pages: Real Native FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Lerumo Lions1.2
Real Native FC1.09
1X2
Lerumo Lions
Draw
Real Native FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lerumo Lions
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Real Native FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lerumo Lions
0–1–1
Real Native FC
(2 last)
- Lerumo Lions1-1Real Native FC
- Real Native FC2-1Lerumo Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lerumo Lions 1546 · Real Native FC 1544
| Lerumo Lions | Draw | Real Native FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lerumo Lions | Real Native FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 38/63/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.8 | 3.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lerumo Lions 0–1–1 Real Native FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 South Africa National Div 1 | Lerumo Lions | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Native FC |
| 26/09/25 South Africa National Div 1 | Real Native FC | 2-1 | Lerumo Lions |
Standings · South Africa National Div 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magesi FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Highbury FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Lerumo Lions | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Gomora United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Real Native FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Seapoint Swifts FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cape Town City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Upington City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Leicesterford City FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Midlands Wanderers FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Pretoria University | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Hungry Lions FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Orbit College | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | North West University Mafikeng | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Venda Football Academy | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | The Bees FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lerumo Lions | Real Native FC |
|---|---|---|
| Black Leopards | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Midlands Wanderers FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Highbury FC | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Leicesterford City FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Baroka FC | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lerumo Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Orbit College South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | North West University Mafikeng South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Baroka FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Real Native FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Upington City South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/08 | Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Gomora United South Africa National Div 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Upington City South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Baroka FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lerumo Lions vs Real Native FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lerumo Lions win (38%). Probabilities: Lerumo Lions 38%, draw 30%, Real Native FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Lerumo Lions vs Real Native FC?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Lerumo Lions 1.2 · Real Native FC 1.09), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lerumo Lions vs Real Native FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.