Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 04/09, 13:00
Prediction: Bayswater City vs Olympic Kingsway
Team pages: Bayswater City · Olympic Kingsway
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Bayswater City2.01
Olympic Kingsway1.77
1X2
Bayswater City
Draw
Olympic Kingsway
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bayswater City
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Olympic Kingsway
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayswater City
3–2–1
Olympic Kingsway
(6 last)
- Olympic Kingsway1-1Bayswater City
- Bayswater City3-2Olympic Kingsway
- Bayswater City2-1Olympic Kingsway
- Bayswater City1-0Olympic Kingsway
- Bayswater City2-3Olympic Kingsway
- Olympic Kingsway0-0Bayswater City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayswater City 1601 · Olympic Kingsway 1496
| Bayswater City | Draw | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayswater City (rating 1601 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Bayswater City: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayswater City | Olympic Kingsway | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayswater City 3–2–1 Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bayswater City |
| 08/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 13/09/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 05/09/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 25/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Olympic Kingsway |
| 10/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Olympic Kingsway | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bayswater City |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayswater City | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 60 | 27 | 47 |
| 2 | Olympic Kingsway | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 29 | 41 |
| 3 | Perth RedStar FC | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 41 |
| 4 | Perth SC | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 41 | 38 |
| 5 | Fremantle City FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 34 | 35 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | 25 |
| 8 | Sorrento | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 24 |
| 9 | Dianella White Eagles | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 43 | 23 |
| 10 | Perth Glory NPL | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 45 | 21 |
| 11 | Armadale | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 56 | 21 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 54 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayswater City | Olympic Kingsway |
|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory NPL | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Stirling Macedonia | 6-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Sorrento | 7-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Fremantle City FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Perth RedStar FC | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Western Knights | 4-4 D | 2-1 W |
| Armadale | 5-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Dianella White Eagles | 4-3 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayswater City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayswater City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 7-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 26/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
Olympic Kingsway
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-2 | 5-4 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayswater City vs Olympic Kingsway?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayswater City win (43%). Probabilities: Bayswater City 43%, draw 24%, Olympic Kingsway 33%.
How many goals are expected in Bayswater City vs Olympic Kingsway?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Bayswater City 2.01 · Olympic Kingsway 1.77), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayswater City vs Olympic Kingsway?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.