Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 04/09, 13:00

Prediction: Perth RedStar FC vs Perth SC

Team pages: Perth RedStar FC · Perth SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Perth RedStar FC1.64

Perth SC1.8

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Perth RedStar FC Draw Perth SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Perth RedStar FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDLLW

Perth SC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDDLDWW

Head-to-head

Perth RedStar FC 1–1–4 Perth SC (6 last)

Perth SC5-2Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC1-1Perth SC
Perth SC1-2Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC0-1Perth SC
Perth SC2-0Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC4-5Perth SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth RedStar FC 1505 · Perth SC 1543

	Perth RedStar FC	Draw	Perth SC
Our model	35%	24%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Perth SC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth RedStar FC	Perth SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	2.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.6	3.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.90
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.47 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:53 +17’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41	2.33	3.90	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth RedStar FC 1–1–4 Perth SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	5-2 HT 4-1	Perth RedStar FC
22/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Perth SC
19/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-2 HT 1-0	Perth RedStar FC
26/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Perth SC
24/01/25 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	2-0 HT 2-0	Perth RedStar FC
24/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	4-5 HT 1-4	Perth SC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayswater City	22	14	5	3	60	27	47
2	Olympic Kingsway	22	12	5	5	44	29	41
3	Perth RedStar FC	22	12	5	5	35	29	41
4	Perth SC	22	10	8	4	53	41	38
5	Fremantle City FC	22	9	8	5	44	34	35
6	Stirling Macedonia	22	9	3	10	40	38	30
7	Western Knights	22	6	7	9	38	40	25
8	Sorrento	22	7	3	12	22	42	24
9	Dianella White Eagles	22	6	5	11	32	43	23
10	Perth Glory NPL	22	5	6	11	41	45	21
11	Armadale	22	5	6	11	40	56	21
12	Balcatta	22	4	5	13	29	54	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth RedStar FC	Perth SC
Armadale	4-0 W	4-1 W
Sorrento	0-1 L	3-1 W
Balcatta	0-0 D	1-1 D
Fremantle City FC	0-3 L	2-2 D
Stirling Macedonia	1-0 W	3-3 D
Bayswater City	0-3 L	0-2 L
Perth Glory NPL	2-1 W	4-2 W
Western Knights	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth RedStar FC

WWLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-0	3	1	W
15/08	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-4	2-5	6	2	L
01/08	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
18/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W

Perth SC

DWDWDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-1	5	0	W
15/08	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	4-1	5-2	2	2	W
01/08	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
25/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	3	D
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth RedStar FC vs Perth SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth SC win (41%). Probabilities: Perth RedStar FC 34%, draw 25%, Perth SC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Perth RedStar FC vs Perth SC?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Perth RedStar FC 1.64 · Perth SC 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth RedStar FC vs Perth SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.