Football · Romania Liga III · 02/10, 14:00

Prediction: CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSM Flacara Moreni

Team pages: CSM Ramnicu Sarat · CSM Flacara Moreni

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
CSM Ramnicu Sarat0.94
CSM Flacara Moreni2.83
1X2
9% 15% 76%
CSM Ramnicu Sarat Draw CSM Flacara Moreni
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLDDWLL
CSM Flacara Moreni 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Ramnicu Sarat 1439 · CSM Flacara Moreni 1598
CSM Ramnicu SaratDrawCSM Flacara Moreni
Our model9%15%76%
Market9%14%76%
Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Flacara Moreni (rating 1439 vs 1598).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM Ramnicu SaratCSM Flacara Moreni
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 23.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 11.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/43/43%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 43 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.15.2 / 0.2

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSM Flacara Moreni 6510 19416
2 Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca 6411 141013
3 CS Tunari 6411 12913
4 CS Blejoi 6312 15810
5 CSO Plopeni 6303 6109
6 ACS Progresul Draganesti 6222 8108
7 Vointa 2024 Crevedia 6213 12107
8 ACS Viitorul Corbeanca 6132 256
9 FC Pucioasa 6123 665
10 CS Urban Titu 6123 7135
11 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 6123 5125
12 FC Paulesti 6024 2112

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCSM Ramnicu SaratCSM Flacara Moreni
FC Pucioasa 0-3 L 1-0 W
Vointa 2024 Crevedia 1-6 L 3-1 W
CS Blejoi 2-0 W 3-2 W
CS Tunari 1-2 L 6-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Flacara Moreni (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Ramnicu Sarat

WLDLLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
– 0-3 –– L
23/09 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
0-2 1-6 65 L
18/09 CS Blejoi
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 34 W
11/09 ACS Progresul Draganesti
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
05/09 ACS Viitorul Corbeanca
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 24 D
28/08 CS Tunari
Romania Liga III
0-2 1-2 53 L
15/05 Unirea Branistea
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
01/05 Dacia Unirea Braila
Romania Liga III
3-2 3-3 47 D
24/04 Petrolul Ploiesti II
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-2 35 L
18/04 CSO Plopeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-1 58 W

CSM Flacara Moreni

WDLWWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/09 CS Tunari
Romania Liga III
– 6-0 –– W
22/09 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
18/09 FC Paulesti
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
12/09 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
1-0 3-1 66 W
04/09 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
3-0 5-0 76 W
28/08 CS Blejoi
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-2 74 W
22/05 Dunarea Calarasi
Romania Liga III
– 7-2 –– W
16/05 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 77 L
09/05 Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 FC Agricola Borcea
Romania Liga III
– 4-3 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSM Flacara Moreni?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Flacara Moreni win (76%). Probabilities: CSM Ramnicu Sarat 9%, draw 15%, CSM Flacara Moreni 76%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSM Flacara Moreni?

The model expects 3.76 goals (CSM Ramnicu Sarat 0.94 · CSM Flacara Moreni 2.83), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSM Flacara Moreni?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.