Football · Cyprus Division 2 · 10/10, 14:30
Prediction: APEA Akrotiriou vs Spartakos Kitiou
Team pages: APEA Akrotiriou · Spartakos Kitiou
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
APEA Akrotiriou1.34
Spartakos Kitiou1.29
1X2
APEA Akrotiriou
Draw
Spartakos Kitiou
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
APEA Akrotiriou
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Spartakos Kitiou
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
APEA Akrotiriou
1–3–2
Spartakos Kitiou
(6 last)
- APEA Akrotiriou4-0Spartakos Kitiou
- Spartakos Kitiou2-0APEA Akrotiriou
- APEA Akrotiriou0-0Spartakos Kitiou
- APEA Akrotiriou2-3Spartakos Kitiou
- Spartakos Kitiou0-0APEA Akrotiriou
- APEA Akrotiriou1-1Spartakos Kitiou
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · APEA Akrotiriou 1557 · Spartakos Kitiou 1501
| APEA Akrotiriou | Draw | Spartakos Kitiou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours APEA Akrotiriou (rating 1557 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Spartakos Kitiou: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| APEA Akrotiriou | Spartakos Kitiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · APEA Akrotiriou 1–3–2 Spartakos Kitiou
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Cyprus Division 2 | APEA Akrotiriou | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Spartakos Kitiou |
| 14/02/26 Cyprus Division 2 | Spartakos Kitiou | 2-0 HT 1-0 | APEA Akrotiriou |
| 13/12/25 Cyprus Division 2 | APEA Akrotiriou | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartakos Kitiou |
| 09/03/24 Cyprus Division 3 | APEA Akrotiriou | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Spartakos Kitiou |
| 21/01/24 Cyprus Division 3 | Spartakos Kitiou | 0-0 | APEA Akrotiriou |
| 25/11/23 Cyprus Division 3 | APEA Akrotiriou | 1-1 | Spartakos Kitiou |
Standings · Cyprus Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | AEP Polemidion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Enosis Paralimni | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Asil Lysis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ermis Aradippou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Spartakos Kitiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Doxa Katokopias | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | APEA Akrotiriou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Digenis Morphou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | MEAP Nisou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Agia Napa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | PAEEK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Halkanoras Idaliou | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Anagennisi FC Deryneia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | APEA Akrotiriou | Spartakos Kitiou |
|---|---|---|
| Digenis Morphou | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Ethnikos Latsion | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Halkanoras Idaliou | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| PO Achyronas Onisilos | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| AE Zakakiou | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartakos Kitiou (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
APEA Akrotiriou
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Digenis Morphou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Doxa Katokopias Cyprus Division 2 |
3-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 25/04 | Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Spartakos Kitiou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 18/03 | PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Digenis Morphou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 28/02 | Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Spartakos Kitiou
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | AEP Polemidion Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | APEA Akrotiriou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Digenis Morphou Cyprus Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/02 | PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in APEA Akrotiriou vs Spartakos Kitiou?
According to our model, the most likely result is a APEA Akrotiriou win (37%). Probabilities: APEA Akrotiriou 37%, draw 28%, Spartakos Kitiou 35%.
How many goals are expected in APEA Akrotiriou vs Spartakos Kitiou?
The model expects 2.63 goals (APEA Akrotiriou 1.34 · Spartakos Kitiou 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in APEA Akrotiriou vs Spartakos Kitiou?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.