Football · Cyprus Division 2 · 10/10, 14:30
Prediction: Asil Lysis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
Team pages: Asil Lysis · Iraklis Yerolakkou
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Asil Lysis1.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou0.97
1X2
Asil Lysis
Draw
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Asil Lysis
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Iraklis Yerolakkou
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asil Lysis
2–2–0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
(4 last)
- Iraklis Yerolakkou1-1Asil Lysis
- Iraklis Yerolakkou0-3Asil Lysis
- Asil Lysis0-0Iraklis Yerolakkou
- Iraklis Yerolakkou0-2Asil Lysis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asil Lysis 1457 · Iraklis Yerolakkou 1520
| Asil Lysis | Draw | Iraklis Yerolakkou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iraklis Yerolakkou (rating 1457 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Asil Lysis: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asil Lysis | Iraklis Yerolakkou | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.5 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.7 | 1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asil Lysis 2–2–0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Cyprus Division 2 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Asil Lysis |
| 12/03/23 Cyprus Division 3 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Asil Lysis |
| 21/01/23 Cyprus Division 3 | Asil Lysis | 0-0 | Iraklis Yerolakkou |
| 06/11/22 Cyprus Division 3 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 0-2 | Asil Lysis |
Standings · Cyprus Division 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | AEP Polemidion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Enosis Paralimni | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ethnikos Achnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Asil Lysis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ermis Aradippou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Spartakos Kitiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Doxa Katokopias | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | APEA Akrotiriou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Digenis Morphou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | MEAP Nisou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Agia Napa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | PAEEK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Akritas Chlorakas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Halkanoras Idaliou | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Anagennisi FC Deryneia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asil Lysis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 12/09 | Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2 |
3-2 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 18/03 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Doxa Katokopias Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | PAEEK Cyprus Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/04 | APEA Akrotiriou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Digenis Morphou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/03 | Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Spartakos Kitiou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/02 | Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asil Lysis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asil Lysis win (55%). Probabilities: Asil Lysis 55%, draw 25%, Iraklis Yerolakkou 20%.
How many goals are expected in Asil Lysis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Asil Lysis 1.76 · Iraklis Yerolakkou 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Asil Lysis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.