Football · Cyprus Division 2 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Asil Lysis vs Doxa Katokopias

Team pages: Asil Lysis · Doxa Katokopias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Asil Lysis1.5

Doxa Katokopias1.57

1X2

35% 27% 38%

Asil Lysis Draw Doxa Katokopias

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Asil Lysis 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWDWL

Doxa Katokopias 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLDWWW

Head-to-head

Asil Lysis 1–2–2 Doxa Katokopias (5 last)

Doxa Katokopias1-0Asil Lysis
Asil Lysis2-0Doxa Katokopias
Asil Lysis1-2Doxa Katokopias
Asil Lysis0-0Doxa Katokopias
Asil Lysis3-3Doxa Katokopias

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asil Lysis 1482 · Doxa Katokopias 1527

	Asil Lysis	Draw	Doxa Katokopias
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Doxa Katokopias (rating 1482 vs 1527).
H2H favours Doxa Katokopias: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Asil Lysis	Doxa Katokopias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.25

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +3’	2.60	3.25	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Asil Lysis 1–2–2 Doxa Katokopias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Cyprus Division 2	Doxa Katokopias	1-0 HT 0-0	Asil Lysis
24/01/26 Cyprus Division 2	Asil Lysis	2-0 HT 1-0	Doxa Katokopias
22/11/25 Cyprus Division 2	Asil Lysis	1-2 HT 0-0	Doxa Katokopias
02/11/24 Cyprus Division 2	Asil Lysis	0-0 HT 0-0	Doxa Katokopias
28/10/15 Cyprus Cup	Asil Lysis	3-3 HT 1-2	Doxa Katokopias

Standings · Cyprus Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Doxa Katokopias	4	3	1	0	12	7	10
2	Enosis Paralimni	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
3	Ethnikos Achnas	4	3	0	1	12	3	9
4	PAEEK	4	3	0	1	10	6	9
5	Ermis Aradippou	4	3	0	1	6	2	9
6	APEA Akrotiriou	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
7	Asil Lysis	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
8	Digenis Morphou	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
9	Iraklis Yerolakkou	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
10	Spartakos Kitiou	4	1	1	2	6	5	4
11	Anagennisi FC Deryneia	4	1	0	3	5	10	3
12	AEP Polemidion	4	1	0	3	1	8	3
13	Halkanoras Idaliou	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
14	Akritas Chlorakas	4	0	2	2	2	5	2
15	Agia Napa	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
16	MEAP Nisou	4	0	1	3	1	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Asil Lysis	Doxa Katokopias
Agia Napa	3-1 W	3-0 W
Nea Salamis Famagusta	1-4 L	1-2 L
MEAP Nisou	2-1 W	2-0 W
Omonia 29is Maiou	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Doxa Katokopias (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asil Lysis

LLDLWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
10/10	Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
19/09	Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 2	0-1	1-1	4	10	D
12/09	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	0-0	3-1	8	4	W
25/04	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
17/04	MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/04	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 2	0-2	2-6	–	–	L
21/03	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	3-2	5-5	–	–	D
18/03	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
13/03	Doxa Katokopias Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L

Doxa Katokopias

WLDWLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	2-0	3-0	5	6	W
10/10	Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2	2-1	4-3	3	11	W
19/09	Anagennisi FC Deryneia Cyprus Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	APEA Akrotiriou Cyprus Division 2	1-3	3-3	4	10	D
25/04	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-3	6	0	L
19/04	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	1-3	1-5	0	1	L
04/04	MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
21/03	PAEEK Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
18/03	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2	0-2	1-2	4	7	L
13/03	Asil Lysis Cyprus Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asil Lysis vs Doxa Katokopias?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Doxa Katokopias win (38%). Probabilities: Asil Lysis 35%, draw 27%, Doxa Katokopias 38%.

How many goals are expected in Asil Lysis vs Doxa Katokopias?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Asil Lysis 1.5 · Doxa Katokopias 1.57), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Asil Lysis vs Doxa Katokopias?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.