Football · Kuwait League · 26/08, 20:00

Prediction: Al Salmiyah SC vs Al Naser SC

Team pages: Al Salmiyah SC · Al Naser SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Al Salmiyah SC1.5

Al Naser SC0.99

1X2

48% 27% 24%

Al Salmiyah SC Draw Al Naser SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Salmiyah SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLDWWL

Al Naser SC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLWDD

Head-to-head

Al Salmiyah SC 5–1–0 Al Naser SC (6 last)

Al Salmiyah SC1-1Al Naser SC
Al Naser SC0-2Al Salmiyah SC
Al Salmiyah SC3-1Al Naser SC
Al Naser SC1-2Al Salmiyah SC
Al Salmiyah SC3-1Al Naser SC
Al Salmiyah SC5-3Al Naser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Salmiyah SC 1543 · Al Naser SC 1489

	Al Salmiyah SC	Draw	Al Naser SC
Our model	48%	29%	24%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Salmiyah SC (rating 1543 vs 1489).
H2H favours Al Salmiyah SC: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Salmiyah SC	Al Naser SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	3.7 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.95 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +7’	1.83	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +1’	1.95	3.16	3.61
15:02 +2’	1.95	3.17▲	3.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Salmiyah SC 5–1–0 Al Naser SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/01/26 Kuwait League	Al Salmiyah SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Naser SC
19/09/25 Kuwait League	Al Naser SC	0-2 HT 0-0	Al Salmiyah SC
26/05/25 Kuwait Cup	Al Salmiyah SC	3-1 HT 2-0	Al Naser SC
10/01/25 Kuwait League	Al Naser SC	1-2 HT 0-2	Al Salmiyah SC
10/08/24 Kuwait League	Al Salmiyah SC	3-1 HT 2-1	Al Naser SC
24/05/24 Kuwait League	Al Salmiyah SC	5-3 HT 2-1	Al Naser SC

Standings · Kuwait League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Jahra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Kuwait SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Naser SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Sahel SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Tadamon SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Arabi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Fahaheel SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Salmiyah SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Shabab Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Salibikhaet SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kazma SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Qadsia SC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Salmiyah SC	Al Naser SC
Kazma SC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Al Arabi SC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Al Fahaheel SC	2-1 W	4-2 W
Al Kuwait SC	3-3 D	1-1 D
Al Shabab Club	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al Naser SC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Salmiyah SC

WLWWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-1	0-3	4	9	L
25/06	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
22/06	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
19/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/06	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	1-3	2-3	6	9	L
12/06	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
28/05	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
23/05	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
15/05	Al Qadsia SC Kuwait League	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
23/02	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	1-0	1-0	7	5	W

Al Naser SC

DWWWDLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Al Jahra Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
21/06	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
17/06	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-0	3-0	12	4	W
12/06	Kazma SC Kuwait League	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
30/05	Al Arabi SC Kuwait League	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
24/05	Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League	1-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/05	Al Jahra Kuwait League	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
22/02	Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League	1-0	4-2	6	3	W
05/02	Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
25/01	Al Shabab Club Kuwait League	1-1	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Salmiyah SC vs Al Naser SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Salmiyah SC win (48%). Probabilities: Al Salmiyah SC 48%, draw 27%, Al Naser SC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Al Salmiyah SC vs Al Naser SC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Al Salmiyah SC 1.5 · Al Naser SC 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Salmiyah SC vs Al Naser SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.