Football · Kuwait League · 04/09, 17:35
Prediction: Al Qadsia SC vs Al Naser SC
Team pages: Al Qadsia SC · Al Naser SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Al Qadsia SC1.61
Al Naser SC0.89
1X2
Al Qadsia SC
Draw
Al Naser SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Qadsia SC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Al Naser SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Qadsia SC
4–1–1
Al Naser SC
(6 last)
- Al Naser SC0-0Al Qadsia SC
- Al Qadsia SC4-0Al Naser SC
- Al Qadsia SC1-0Al Naser SC
- Al Naser SC3-0Al Qadsia SC
- Al Qadsia SC2-1Al Naser SC
- Al Naser SC2-4Al Qadsia SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Qadsia SC 1530 · Al Naser SC 1517
| Al Qadsia SC | Draw | Al Naser SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Qadsia SC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Qadsia SC | Al Naser SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 3.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Qadsia SC 4–1–1 Al Naser SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/25 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 13/09/25 Kuwait League | Al Qadsia SC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Al Naser SC |
| 31/03/25 Kuwait Crown Prince Cup | Al Qadsia SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Naser SC |
| 23/02/25 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Al Qadsia SC |
| 19/10/24 Kuwait League | Al Qadsia SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Naser SC |
| 27/05/24 Kuwait League | Al Naser SC | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Al Qadsia SC |
Standings · Kuwait League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Naser SC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Kazma SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Sahel SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Al Kuwait SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Al Shabab Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Salmiyah SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Jahra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Qadsia SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Arabi SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 | Al Salibikhaet SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fahaheel SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Tadamon SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Qadsia SC | Al Naser SC |
|---|---|---|
| Al Kuwait SC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Fahaheel SC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Kazma SC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Al Arabi SC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Al Salmiyah SC | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Al Jahra | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Al Tadamon SC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Qadsia SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/08 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/06 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/06 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Al Naser SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | Al Salmiyah SC Kuwait League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Al Tadamon SC Kuwait League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Al Shabab Club Kuwait League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Kazma SC Kuwait League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Al Arabi SC Kuwait League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Al Kuwait SC Kuwait League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Jahra Kuwait League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Al Fahaheel SC Kuwait League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Naser SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Qadsia SC win (54%). Probabilities: Al Qadsia SC 54%, draw 25%, Al Naser SC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Naser SC?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Al Qadsia SC 1.61 · Al Naser SC 0.89), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Qadsia SC vs Al Naser SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.