Football · Senegal Premier League · 17/10, 19:00
Prediction: Walidaan DKR vs Stade de Mbour
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.68Total
Walidaan DKR0.98
Stade de Mbour0.7
1X2
Walidaan DKR
Draw
Stade de Mbour
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Walidaan DKR
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Stade de Mbour
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walidaan DKR
2–2–0
Stade de Mbour
(4 last)
- Stade de Mbour1-1Walidaan DKR
- Walidaan DKR1-0Stade de Mbour
- Walidaan DKR0-0Stade de Mbour
- Stade de Mbour0-1Walidaan DKR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walidaan DKR 1532 · Stade de Mbour 1492
| Walidaan DKR | Draw | Stade de Mbour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 36% | 24% |
| Market | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.68 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Walidaan DKR (rating 1532 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Walidaan DKR: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walidaan DKR | Stade de Mbour | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 14/57/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walidaan DKR 2–2–0 Stade de Mbour
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Senegal Premier League | Stade de Mbour | 1-1 | Walidaan DKR |
| 11/01/26 Senegal Premier League | Walidaan DKR | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stade de Mbour |
| 30/05/22 Senegal Ligue 2 | Walidaan DKR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stade de Mbour |
| 28/02/22 Senegal Ligue 2 | Stade de Mbour | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Walidaan DKR |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ajel de Rufisque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Pikine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC Jaraaf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Walidaan DKR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casa Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diambars FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Essamaye FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Generation Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guediawaye FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC HLM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC Linguere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade de Mbour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Teungueth FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Goree | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ouakam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Walidaan DKR | Stade de Mbour |
|---|---|---|
| US Goree | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Guediawaye FC | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Teungueth FC | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Ajel de Rufisque | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| US Ouakam | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| ASC HLM | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AS Camberene | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Walidaan DKR (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walidaan DKR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/03 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Stade de Mbour
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/04 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walidaan DKR vs Stade de Mbour?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Walidaan DKR win (40%). Probabilities: Walidaan DKR 40%, draw 35%, Stade de Mbour 24%.
How many goals are expected in Walidaan DKR vs Stade de Mbour?
The model expects 1.68 goals (Walidaan DKR 0.98 · Stade de Mbour 0.7), with a 51% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Walidaan DKR vs Stade de Mbour?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.