Football · Albania First Division · 06/09, 16:00
Prediction: KS Burreli vs Kastrioti Krujë
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
KS Burreli1.69
Kastrioti Krujë1.17
1X2
KS Burreli
Draw
Kastrioti Krujë
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
KS Burreli
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Kastrioti Krujë
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KS Burreli
3–2–1
Kastrioti Krujë
(6 last)
- Kastrioti Krujë5-2KS Burreli
- KS Burreli0-0Kastrioti Krujë
- KS Burreli5-2Kastrioti Krujë
- Kastrioti Krujë1-1KS Burreli
- KS Burreli1-0Kastrioti Krujë
- KS Burreli3-1Kastrioti Krujë
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KS Burreli 1448 · Kastrioti Krujë 1425
| KS Burreli | Draw | Kastrioti Krujë | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours KS Burreli: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KS Burreli | Kastrioti Krujë | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/0/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 4.3 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KS Burreli 3–2–1 Kastrioti Krujë
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Albania First Division | Kastrioti Krujë | 5-2 HT 2-1 | KS Burreli |
| 13/12/25 Albania First Division | KS Burreli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kastrioti Krujë |
| 19/11/25 Albania Cup | KS Burreli | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Kastrioti Krujë |
| 27/09/25 Albania First Division | Kastrioti Krujë | 1-1 HT 0-1 | KS Burreli |
| 01/03/25 Albania First Division | KS Burreli | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kastrioti Krujë |
| 14/12/24 Albania First Division | KS Burreli | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Kastrioti Krujë |
Standings · Albania First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavaje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bylis Ballsh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Kukesi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kastrioti Krujë | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KS Korabi Peshkopi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KF Oriku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KF Beslidhja Lezhe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KS Burreli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KS Flamurtari Vlore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogradeci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KS Sopoti Librazhd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KS Burreli | Kastrioti Krujë |
|---|---|---|
| KS Lushnja | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Luftetari | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Laci | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Pogradeci | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Kukesi | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Besa Kavaje | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KS Burreli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Apolonia Fier Albania First Division |
1-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | KS Lushnja Albania First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Luftetari Albania First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Skenderbeu Korce Albania First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Laci Albania First Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Pogradeci Albania First Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/03 | Kastrioti Krujë Albania First Division |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | FK Kukesi Albania First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 07/03 | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/03 | Besa Kavaje Albania First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
Kastrioti Krujë
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05 | Pogradeci Albania First Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | KS Lushnja Albania First Division |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Luftetari Albania First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Skenderbeu Korce Albania First Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Laci Albania First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Pogradeci Albania First Division |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | FK Kukesi Albania First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/03 | KS Burreli Albania First Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje Albania First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Besa Kavaje Albania First Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KS Burreli vs Kastrioti Krujë?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KS Burreli win (48%). Probabilities: KS Burreli 48%, draw 28%, Kastrioti Krujë 25%.
How many goals are expected in KS Burreli vs Kastrioti Krujë?
The model expects 2.86 goals (KS Burreli 1.69 · Kastrioti Krujë 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KS Burreli vs Kastrioti Krujë?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.