Prediction: Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen FC
Team pages: Gijang United · Jinju Citizen FC
- Jinju Citizen FC2-0Gijang United
- Gijang United1-0Jinju Citizen FC
- Gijang United1-3Jinju Citizen FC
- Jinju Citizen FC1-0Gijang United
| Gijang United | Draw | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 22% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1473 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Jinju Citizen FC: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gijang United | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 3.2 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gijang United 1–0–3 Jinju Citizen FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 South Korea K4 League | Jinju Citizen FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gijang United |
| 28/09/25 South Korea K4 League | Gijang United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Jinju Citizen FC |
| 24/05/25 South Korea K4 League | Gijang United | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Jinju Citizen FC |
| 22/02/25 South Korea K4 League | Jinju Citizen FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gijang United |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gijang United | Jinju Citizen FC |
|---|---|---|
| Seosan Pioneer | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Seoul Jungnang FC | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Busan Trans Corp | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Jecheon Citizen | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Haman | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Sejong SA | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Jinju Citizen FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Jinju Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/07 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Sejong SA South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Jinju Citizen FC win (57%). Probabilities: Gijang United 20%, draw 23%, Jinju Citizen FC 57%.
How many goals are expected in Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Gijang United 1.06 · Jinju Citizen FC 1.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gijang United vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.