Football · South Korea K4 League · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: Seoul Jungnang FC vs Namyangju FC

Team pages: Seoul Jungnang FC · Namyangju FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Seoul Jungnang FC1.86

Namyangju FC1.39

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Seoul Jungnang FC Draw Namyangju FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Seoul Jungnang FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Namyangju FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Seoul Jungnang FC 1–1–4 Namyangju FC (6 last)

Namyangju FC3-1Seoul Jungnang FC
Namyangju FC3-3Seoul Jungnang FC
Seoul Jungnang FC1-2Namyangju FC
Namyangju FC3-2Seoul Jungnang FC
Seoul Jungnang FC0-1Namyangju FC
Namyangju FC2-3Seoul Jungnang FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seoul Jungnang FC 1500 · Namyangju FC 1506

	Seoul Jungnang FC	Draw	Namyangju FC
Our model	48%	25%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Namyangju FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seoul Jungnang FC	Namyangju FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.93
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.30 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +8’	1.90	3.60	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +28’	1.93	3.30	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Jungnang FC 1–1–4 Namyangju FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 South Korea Cup	Namyangju FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Seoul Jungnang FC
12/04/26 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	3-3 HT 3-0	Seoul Jungnang FC
20/09/25 South Korea K4 League	Seoul Jungnang FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Namyangju FC
01/06/25 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	3-2 HT 2-0	Seoul Jungnang FC
02/03/25 South Korea K4 League	Seoul Jungnang FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Namyangju FC
05/10/24 South Korea K4 League	Namyangju FC	2-3 HT 1-2	Seoul Jungnang FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seoul Jungnang FC	Namyangju FC
Geumsan Insam	3-1 W	1-1 D
Gijang United	3-0 W	1-2 L
Jecheon Citizen	1-2 L	3-2 W
Haman	2-1 W	2-1 W
Jincheon HR	0-0 D	2-2 D
Geoje Citizen FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Seoul Jungnang FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	2-1	3-1	2	3	W
11/07	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
05/07	Namyangju FC South Korea Cup	0-2	1-3	11	6	L
27/06	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
21/06	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
06/06	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	4-2	7	5	W
23/05	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
16/05	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
10/05	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
25/04	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Namyangju FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	2-2	3-2	4	7	W
15/07	Gimpo FC South Korea Cup	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	Haman South Korea K4 League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
05/07	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea Cup	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
28/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
20/06	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	2-1	2-3	4	3	L
07/06	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/05	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
16/05	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
09/05	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Namyangju FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seoul Jungnang FC win (47%). Probabilities: Seoul Jungnang FC 47%, draw 25%, Namyangju FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Namyangju FC?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Seoul Jungnang FC 1.86 · Namyangju FC 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Seoul Jungnang FC vs Namyangju FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.