Football · South Korea K4 League · 22/08, 10:00

Prediction: Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon HR

Team pages: Pyeongchang United · Jincheon HR

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Pyeongchang United1.29
Jincheon HR1.81
1X2
26% 25% 49%
Pyeongchang United Draw Jincheon HR
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pyeongchang United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDWWDLL
Jincheon HR 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDDDLW
Head-to-head
Pyeongchang United 0–1 Jincheon HR (1 last)
  • Jincheon HR1-0Pyeongchang United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyeongchang United 1495 · Jincheon HR 1535
Pyeongchang UnitedDrawJincheon HR
Our model26%25%49%
Market26%25%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jincheon HR (rating 1495 vs 1535).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pyeongchang UnitedJincheon HR
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.92.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.90.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.72.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongchang United 001 Jincheon HR

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Jincheon HR1-0
HT 1-0
Pyeongchang United

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPyeongchang UnitedJincheon HR
Geoje Citizen FC 1-3 L 4-1 W
Sejong SA 3-1 W 1-4 L
Namyangju FC 3-2 W 2-2 D
Geumsan Insam 1-1 D 2-2 D
Gijang United 4-2 W 2-0 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Jinju Citizen FC 0-4 L 6-2 W
Seosan Pioneer 0-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyeongchang United

LLWWDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 Suwon FC
South Korea Cup
1-1 2-3 72 L
11/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-3 54 L
04/07 TNT Fitogether FC
South Korea Cup
0-1 1-1 610 D
28/06 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
2-1 3-1 33 W
20/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-2 3-2 33 W
07/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-1 54 D
30/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
3-0 4-2 31 W
24/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-3 0-4 12 L
10/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-2 25 L

Jincheon HR

DWWLWDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
2-1 4-1 81 W
11/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-4 24 L
04/07 Siheung City AC
South Korea Cup
1-0 1-1 71 D
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
21/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-2 103 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-1 6-2 42 W
17/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 53 W
10/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon HR?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jincheon HR win (49%). Probabilities: Pyeongchang United 26%, draw 25%, Jincheon HR 49%.

How many goals are expected in Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon HR?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Pyeongchang United 1.29 · Jincheon HR 1.81), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon HR?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.