Football · Northern Ireland Cup Women · 21/08, 21:00
Prediction: Ballymena Utd (W) vs Lisburn (W)
Team pages: Ballymena Utd (W) · Lisburn (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Ballymena Utd (W)1.06
Lisburn (W)2.41
1X2
Ballymena Utd (W)
Draw
Lisburn (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymena Utd (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Lisburn (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymena Utd (W)
0–3
Lisburn (W)
(3 last)
- Ballymena Utd (W)1-3Lisburn (W)
- Lisburn (W)4-1Ballymena Utd (W)
- Ballymena Utd (W)0-1Lisburn (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballymena Utd (W) 1516 · Lisburn (W) 1410
| Ballymena Utd (W) | Draw | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymena Utd (W) (rating 1516 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Lisburn (W): 3-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymena Utd (W) | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 4.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 2.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.4 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd (W) 0–0–3 Lisburn (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Lisburn (W) |
| 08/05/19 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Lisburn (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 16/05/18 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lisburn (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymena Utd (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 12/08 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/08 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Lisburn (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-6 | 1-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-8 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lisburn (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd (W) 14%, draw 20%, Lisburn (W) 66%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Ballymena Utd (W) 1.06 · Lisburn (W) 2.41), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.