Football · Northern Ireland Cup Women · 21/08, 21:00
Prediction: Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)
Team pages: Crusaders Strikers (W) · Sion Swifts (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Crusaders Strikers (W)1.86
Sion Swifts (W)1.92
1X2
Crusaders Strikers (W)
Draw
Sion Swifts (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Crusaders Strikers (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sion Swifts (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crusaders Strikers (W)
4–2
Sion Swifts (W)
(6 last)
- Crusaders Strikers (W)1-0Sion Swifts (W)
- Crusaders Strikers (W)0-1Sion Swifts (W)
- Sion Swifts (W)3-0Crusaders Strikers (W)
- Crusaders Strikers (W)2-1Sion Swifts (W)
- Sion Swifts (W)1-4Crusaders Strikers (W)
- Crusaders Strikers (W)2-1Sion Swifts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1475 · Sion Swifts (W) 1641
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Draw | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sion Swifts (W) (rating 1475 vs 1641).
- H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.9 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 4.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 4–0–2 Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 05/07/23 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 26/05/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 24/08/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 01/06/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 29/09/21 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sion Swifts (W) |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crusaders Strikers (W) | Sion Swifts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crusaders Strikers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-9 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 17 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 9-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sion Swifts (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Crusaders Strikers (W) 37%, draw 24%, Sion Swifts (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Crusaders Strikers (W) 1.86 · Sion Swifts (W) 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.