Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol vs CS Petrocub

Team pages: Sheriff Tiraspol · CS Petrocub

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Sheriff Tiraspol1.77

CS Petrocub0.98

1X2

54% 26% 19%

Sheriff Tiraspol Draw CS Petrocub

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sheriff Tiraspol 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWDWL

CS Petrocub 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Sheriff Tiraspol 3–3 CS Petrocub (6 last)

CS Petrocub2-3Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol2-0CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
CS Petrocub1-0Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol1-0CS Petrocub
CS Petrocub4-2Sheriff Tiraspol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheriff Tiraspol 1515 · CS Petrocub 1503

	Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	CS Petrocub
Our model	55%	26%	20%
Market	54%	27%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sheriff Tiraspol	CS Petrocub
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 6.8	2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.30

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.65▼	Pinn 1.78 ★
X	3.50 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	4.33 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +12’	1.67	3.50	4.33
09:40 +13’	1.65▼	3.30▼	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:52 +1’	1.78	2.99	4.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheriff Tiraspol 3–0–3 CS Petrocub

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	2-3 HT 0-1	Sheriff Tiraspol
13/05/26 Moldova Cup	Sheriff Tiraspol	2-0 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub
06/05/26 Moldova Cup	CS Petrocub	1-0 HT 1-0	Sheriff Tiraspol
26/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	1-0 HT 1-0	Sheriff Tiraspol
14/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	1-0 HT 1-0	CS Petrocub
08/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	CS Petrocub	4-2 HT 1-2	Sheriff Tiraspol

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	10	6	3	1	22	8	21
2	Zimbru Chisinau	10	6	2	2	23	10	20
3	CS Petrocub	10	5	2	3	19	10	17
4	Dacia Buiucani	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	10	3	3	4	15	15	12
6	FC Milsami	10	2	5	3	8	14	11
7	FC Real Sireti	10	0	7	3	6	13	7
8	FC Balti	10	1	2	7	8	29	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sheriff Tiraspol	CS Petrocub
Zimbru Chisinau	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Politehnica Chisinau	4-0 W	3-1 W
FC Real Sireti	1-1 D	0-0 D
Dacia Buiucani	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Balti	5-1 W	3-0 W
FC Milsami	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sheriff Tiraspol (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheriff Tiraspol

WDWWDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
16/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
09/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
02/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
26/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
19/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-2	6	4	W
12/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
04/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
28/06	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	4	4	W

CS Petrocub

WWDLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	13	1	W
22/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
15/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
09/08	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
02/08	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-1	0	1	W
26/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
19/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
11/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
04/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
28/06	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheriff Tiraspol vs CS Petrocub?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheriff Tiraspol win (54%). Probabilities: Sheriff Tiraspol 54%, draw 26%, CS Petrocub 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sheriff Tiraspol vs CS Petrocub?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Sheriff Tiraspol 1.77 · CS Petrocub 0.98), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheriff Tiraspol vs CS Petrocub?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.