Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Politehnica Chisinau

Team pages: Zimbru Chisinau · FC Politehnica Chisinau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Zimbru Chisinau2.9

FC Politehnica Chisinau0.9

1X2

78% 14% 8%

Zimbru Chisinau Draw FC Politehnica Chisinau

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zimbru Chisinau 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLWWWW

FC Politehnica Chisinau 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDWLDW

Head-to-head

Zimbru Chisinau 6–0 FC Politehnica Chisinau (6 last)

FC Politehnica Chisinau0-2Zimbru Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau0-5Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau5-0FC Politehnica Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau4-2FC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Politehnica Chisinau2-3Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau7-0FC Politehnica Chisinau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zimbru Chisinau 1597 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 1474

	Zimbru Chisinau	Draw	FC Politehnica Chisinau
Our model	77%	14%	8%
Market	78%	14%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1597 vs 1474).
H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Politehnica Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.4	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X6.50

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.98

2 (+2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +17’	1.17	6.50	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zimbru Chisinau 6–0–0 FC Politehnica Chisinau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Politehnica Chisinau	0-2 HT 0-2	Zimbru Chisinau
21/04/26 Moldova Cup	FC Politehnica Chisinau	0-5 HT 0-2	Zimbru Chisinau
03/03/26 Moldova Cup	Zimbru Chisinau	5-0 HT 3-0	FC Politehnica Chisinau
30/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	4-2 HT 0-1	FC Politehnica Chisinau
27/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Politehnica Chisinau	2-3 HT 0-0	Zimbru Chisinau
03/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	7-0 HT 1-0	FC Politehnica Chisinau

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zimbru Chisinau	11	7	2	2	25	10	23
2	Sheriff Tiraspol	11	6	4	1	24	10	22
3	CS Petrocub	11	5	3	3	21	12	18
4	FC Politehnica Chisinau	11	4	3	4	17	16	15
5	Dacia Buiucani	11	4	2	5	13	16	14
6	FC Milsami	11	3	5	3	11	15	14
7	FC Real Sireti	11	0	7	4	6	15	7
8	FC Balti	11	1	2	8	9	32	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Politehnica Chisinau
FC Real Sireti	2-0 W	0-0 D
Sheriff Tiraspol	2-1 W	0-4 L
FC Balti	4-0 W	6-0 W
FC Milsami	4-2 W	1-1 D
CS Petrocub	1-2 L	1-3 L
Dacia Buiucani	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zimbru Chisinau

WLDWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
22/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
16/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-2	5	10	W
09/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	8	8	L
02/08	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
26/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
18/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	2-4	8	3	L
05/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	3	6	W

FC Politehnica Chisinau

DWWLLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	13	0	D
23/08	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-4	0	5	L
15/08	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	5-0	6-0	7	2	W
08/08	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
02/08	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
26/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
18/07	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
11/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zimbru Chisinau win (78%). Probabilities: Zimbru Chisinau 78%, draw 14%, FC Politehnica Chisinau 8%.

How many goals are expected in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Zimbru Chisinau 2.9 · FC Politehnica Chisinau 0.9), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Politehnica Chisinau?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.