Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 29/08, 10:00

Prediction: Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United

Team pages: Brisbane Strikers · Broadbeach United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Brisbane Strikers1.55

Broadbeach United1.24

1X2

44% 25% 30%

Brisbane Strikers Draw Broadbeach United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brisbane Strikers 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Broadbeach United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brisbane Strikers 1–2–3 Broadbeach United (6 last)

Brisbane Strikers2-1Broadbeach United
Broadbeach United2-1Brisbane Strikers
Broadbeach United3-2Brisbane Strikers
Brisbane Strikers2-2Broadbeach United
Brisbane Strikers2-2Broadbeach United
Broadbeach United3-2Brisbane Strikers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Strikers 1588 · Broadbeach United 1550

	Brisbane Strikers	Draw	Broadbeach United
Our model	43%	27%	29%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Broadbeach United: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brisbane Strikers	Broadbeach United
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:00 +12’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Strikers 1–2–3 Broadbeach United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Australia Queensland Premier League	Brisbane Strikers	2-1 HT 1-1	Broadbeach United
18/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	2-1 HT 0-0	Brisbane Strikers
19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	3-2 HT 0-1	Brisbane Strikers
09/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League	Brisbane Strikers	2-2 HT 2-1	Broadbeach United
04/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League	Brisbane Strikers	2-2 HT 1-0	Broadbeach United
28/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League	Broadbeach United	3-2 HT 1-2	Brisbane Strikers

Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brisbane Strikers	22	17	3	2	52	18	54
2	Broadbeach United	22	16	4	2	51	20	52
3	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	22	10	7	5	46	28	37
4	Ipswich FC	22	10	5	7	35	30	35
5	Robina City	22	9	5	8	36	29	32
6	Caboolture FC	21	9	4	8	44	36	31
7	Redlands United	22	8	6	8	40	38	30
8	Holland Park Hawks	22	9	3	10	40	48	30
9	Logan Lightning	22	8	3	11	39	41	27
10	North Star	21	5	3	13	20	40	18
11	St George Willawong FC	22	4	1	17	13	52	13
12	Capalaba FC	22	3	2	17	21	57	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brisbane Strikers	Broadbeach United
Holland Park Hawks	2-3 L	1-0 W
St George Willawong FC	1-0 W	4-1 W
Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2-0 W	1-2 L
Logan Lightning	3-2 W	1-0 W
Ipswich FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Caboolture FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Robina City	3-0 W	0-0 D
North Star	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Strikers (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Strikers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	2-1	2-3	10	4	L
09/08	Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
02/08	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
18/07	Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
04/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	3-2	0	4	W
26/06	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
19/06	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
06/06	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
02/06	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	2-0	3-1	4	9	W

Broadbeach United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
09/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
31/07	Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
18/07	Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
11/07	Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/06	Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League	2-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	North Star Australia Queensland Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
13/06	St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	4-1	3	3	W
06/06	Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Strikers win (44%). Probabilities: Brisbane Strikers 44%, draw 25%, Broadbeach United 30%.

How many goals are expected in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Brisbane Strikers 1.55 · Broadbeach United 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Strikers vs Broadbeach United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.