Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 30/08, 10:30
Prediction: Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC
Team pages: Sunshine Coast Wanderers · Ipswich FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Sunshine Coast Wanderers1.83
Ipswich FC1.35
1X2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw
Ipswich FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Ipswich FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0–2–0
Ipswich FC
(2 last)
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers0-0Ipswich FC
- Ipswich FC1-1Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1565 · Ipswich FC 1462
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Draw | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (rating 1565 vs 1462).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Ipswich FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0–2–0 Ipswich FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ipswich FC |
| 25/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | Ipswich FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach United | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 36 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands United | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 18 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 57 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Ipswich FC |
|---|---|---|
| Broadbeach United | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Logan Lightning | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Brisbane Strikers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Caboolture FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Robina City | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Capalaba FC | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| North Star | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sunshine Coast Wanderers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Ipswich FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/06 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sunshine Coast Wanderers win (48%). Probabilities: Sunshine Coast Wanderers 48%, draw 24%, Ipswich FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1.83 · Ipswich FC 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.