Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 29/08, 12:00

Prediction: Portimonense vs Leixoes

Team pages: Portimonense · Leixoes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Portimonense1.51

Leixoes1.19

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Portimonense Draw Leixoes

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Portimonense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDWWWD

Leixoes 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Portimonense 1–2–3 Leixoes (6 last)

Leixoes2-0Portimonense
Portimonense1-2Leixoes
Portimonense2-1Leixoes
Leixoes3-0Portimonense
Leixoes0-0Portimonense
Portimonense3-3Leixoes

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Leixoes: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portimonense	Leixoes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.5	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.79

Under 2.252.01

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.61 → 2.61	Pinn 2.61
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.30
2	2.66 → 2.66	Pinn 2.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34 +5’	2.61	3.30	2.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portimonense 1–2–3 Leixoes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	2-0 HT 0-0	Portimonense
14/12/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	1-2 HT 1-0	Leixoes
02/03/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	2-1 HT 0-1	Leixoes
05/10/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	3-0 HT 3-0	Portimonense
30/07/23 Portugal League Cup	Leixoes	0-0 HT 0-0	Portimonense
29/04/17 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	3-3 HT 2-2	Leixoes

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academica	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	Portimonense	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
3	Benfica B	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
4	Lusitania Lourosa	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	SC Farense	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
6	Sporting B	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
7	Vizela	3	1	1	1	1	2	4
8	UD Leiria	3	1	0	2	5	5	3
9	Leixoes	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
10	Tondela	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Felgueiras 1932	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	SCU Torreense	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
13	Penafiel	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	AVS	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	Feirense	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Amarante	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
17	FC Porto B	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portimonense	Leixoes
Benfica B	1-1 D	0-1 L
Chaves	3-2 W	2-1 W
Lusitania Lourosa	3-2 W	2-1 W
Maritimo	0-1 L	2-3 L
UD Oliveirense	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portimonense

WLWLWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
16/08	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
17/05	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	2-2	3-2	7	4	W
25/04	Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
19/04	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	3-2	6	6	W
12/04	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
03/04	UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-1	7	6	W

Leixoes

DWWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-4	8	6	L
16/08	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
10/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	8	8	L
17/05	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
01/05	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-3	1	8	L
25/04	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-0	11	4	W
20/04	FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
12/04	UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/04	SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portimonense vs Leixoes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portimonense win (43%). Probabilities: Portimonense 43%, draw 28%, Leixoes 29%.

How many goals are expected in Portimonense vs Leixoes?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Portimonense 1.51 · Leixoes 1.19), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Portimonense vs Leixoes?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.