Football · Rwanda National League · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Gorilla FC vs Rayon Sports FC
Team pages: Gorilla FC
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Gorilla FC0.7
Rayon Sports FC1.18
1X2
Gorilla FC
Draw
Rayon Sports FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Gorilla FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Rayon Sports FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gorilla FC
0–3–3
Rayon Sports FC
(6 last)
- Rayon Sports FC1-1Gorilla FC
- Rayon Sports FC0-0Gorilla FC
- Gorilla FC1-1Rayon Sports FC
- Gorilla FC1-2Rayon Sports FC
- Rayon Sports FC1-0Gorilla FC
- Gorilla FC0-1Rayon Sports FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gorilla FC 1506 · Rayon Sports FC 1569
| Gorilla FC | Draw | Rayon Sports FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 33% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rayon Sports FC (rating 1506 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Rayon Sports FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gorilla FC | Rayon Sports FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 3.9 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gorilla FC 0–3–3 Rayon Sports FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Rwanda National League | Rayon Sports FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gorilla FC |
| 12/05/26 Rwanda Cup | Rayon Sports FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gorilla FC |
| 22/04/26 Rwanda Cup | Gorilla FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rayon Sports FC |
| 19/12/25 Rwanda National League | Gorilla FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Rayon Sports FC |
| 28/05/25 Rwanda National League | Rayon Sports FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gorilla FC |
| 06/03/25 Rwanda Cup | Gorilla FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rayon Sports FC |
Standings · Rwanda National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | APR FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Mukura | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marines FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Gorilla FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Musanze FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Kiyovu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunrise FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Rayon Sports FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Merrikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Etoile de L'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | AS Kigali | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gorilla FC | Rayon Sports FC |
|---|---|---|
| SC Kiyovu | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| AS Muhanga | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gorilla FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gorilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Etincelles Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Al Merrikh Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | Etincelles Rwanda National League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Rayon Sports FC Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Mukura Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | AS Kigali Rwanda National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Police FC Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | AS Muhanga Rwanda National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Rayon Sports FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Sunrise FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Bugesera Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Marines FC Rwanda National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | AS Muhanga Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 02/05 | APR FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Amagaju Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Rutsiro FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Gicumbi FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gorilla FC vs Rayon Sports FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rayon Sports FC win (47%). Probabilities: Gorilla FC 22%, draw 31%, Rayon Sports FC 47%.
How many goals are expected in Gorilla FC vs Rayon Sports FC?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Gorilla FC 0.7 · Rayon Sports FC 1.18), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gorilla FC vs Rayon Sports FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.