Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor
Team pages: Caykur Rizespor · Samsunspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Caykur Rizespor1.71
Samsunspor1.43
1X2
Caykur Rizespor
Draw
Samsunspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caykur Rizespor
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Samsunspor
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caykur Rizespor
3–1–2
Samsunspor
(6 last)
- Caykur Rizespor4-1Samsunspor
- Samsunspor1-1Caykur Rizespor
- Samsunspor2-3Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor0-1Samsunspor
- Samsunspor3-0Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor1-0Samsunspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caykur Rizespor 1538 · Samsunspor 1532
| Caykur Rizespor | Draw | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Caykur Rizespor: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caykur Rizespor | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caykur Rizespor 3–1–2 Samsunspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Samsunspor |
| 27/10/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Samsunspor | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 22/02/25 Türkiye Super Lig | Samsunspor | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 22/09/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Samsunspor |
| 23/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig | Samsunspor | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Caykur Rizespor |
| 08/10/23 Türkiye Super Lig | Caykur Rizespor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Samsunspor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Corum Belediyespor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caykur Rizespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Orijent Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Abha World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Hull Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | NK Osijek Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Dinamo Batumi Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Samsunspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Kasimpasa Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Westerlo Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | AEK Athens Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | RAAL La Louviere Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/07 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caykur Rizespor win (43%). Probabilities: Caykur Rizespor 43%, draw 26%, Samsunspor 31%.
How many goals are expected in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Caykur Rizespor 1.71 · Samsunspor 1.43), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.