Football · Danish Womens 1.Division · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: AaB (W) vs Naestved HG (W)

Team pages: AaB (W) · Naestved HG (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
AaB (W)1.56
Naestved HG (W)2.23
1X2
25% 23% 52%
AaB (W) Draw Naestved HG (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
AaB (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLWDL
Naestved HG (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLLLDW
Head-to-head
AaB (W) 2–1–3 Naestved HG (W) (6 last)
  • Naestved HG (W)1-0AaB (W)
  • AaB (W)1-7Naestved HG (W)
  • Naestved HG (W)1-3AaB (W)
  • Naestved HG (W)0-2AaB (W)
  • AaB (W)0-3Naestved HG (W)
  • AaB (W)1-1Naestved HG (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AaB (W) 1437 · Naestved HG (W) 1507
AaB (W)DrawNaestved HG (W)
Our model26%22%52%
Market25%24%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naestved HG (W) (rating 1437 vs 1507).
  • H2H favours Naestved HG (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AaB (W)Naestved HG (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 3.52.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 10.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 1.72.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 01.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · AaB (W) 2–1–3 Naestved HG (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Danish Womens 1.Division
Naestved HG (W)1-0
HT 0-0
AaB (W)
13/06/26
Danish Womens 1.Division
AaB (W)1-7Naestved HG (W)
25/04/26
Danish Womens 1.Division
Naestved HG (W)1-3AaB (W)
08/11/25
Danish Womens 1.Division
Naestved HG (W)0-2
HT 0-1
AaB (W)
13/09/25
Danish Womens 1.Division
AaB (W)0-3Naestved HG (W)
06/04/25
Danish Womens 1.Division
AaB (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Naestved HG (W)

Standings · Danish Womens 1.Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Osterbro IF (W) 7511 20816
2 Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) 7502 141015
3 Sundby BK (W) 7421 161014
4 Naestved HG (W) 7313 10710
5 FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) 7313 202210
6 Viborg (W) 7232 989
7 AaB (W) 7115 8214
8 Esbjerg fB (W) 7016 9201

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAaB (W)Naestved HG (W)
Sundby BK (W) 1-2 L 1-1 D
Viborg (W) 0-0 D 1-2 L
Esbjerg fB (W) 4-2 W 2-1 W
FC Thy-Thisted Q (W) 3-6 L 4-0 W
Boldklubben AF 1893 (W) 0-4 L 1-2 L
Osterbro IF (W) 0-6 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Naestved HG (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AaB (W)

LDLLLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Sundby BK (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-2 1-2 30 L
19/09 Viborg (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 Esbjerg fB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 4-2 –– W
06/09 FC Thy-Thisted Q (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 3-6 –– L
29/08 Boldklubben AF 1893 (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-1 0-4 01 L
22/08 Osterbro IF (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 0-6 –– L
15/08 Naestved HG (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-0 0-1 23 L
13/06 Naestved HG (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 1-7 –– L
31/05 Esbjerg fB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 2-2 –– D
25/05 Viborg (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 0-5 –– L

Naestved HG (W)

DWWWWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 FC Thy-Thisted Q (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 4-0 –– W
19/09 Sundby BK (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-0 1-1 10 D
12/09 Boldklubben AF 1893 (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-1 1-2 11 L
06/09 Viborg (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-1 1-2 12 L
29/08 Osterbro IF (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 0-1 –– L
23/08 Esbjerg fB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 2-1 –– W
15/08 AaB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-0 1-0 73 W
13/06 AaB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
– 7-1 –– W
31/05 Boldklubben AF 1893 (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
1-2 3-2 32 W
25/05 Esbjerg fB (W)
Danish Womens 1.Division
0-1 2-2 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AaB (W) vs Naestved HG (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Naestved HG (W) win (52%). Probabilities: AaB (W) 25%, draw 23%, Naestved HG (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in AaB (W) vs Naestved HG (W)?

The model expects 3.79 goals (AaB (W) 1.56 · Naestved HG (W) 2.23), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AaB (W) vs Naestved HG (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.