Football · Ukraine Cup · 21/08, 13:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Kyiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka

Team pages: Lokomotiv Kyiv · FC Probiy Horodenka

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Lokomotiv Kyiv1.71
FC Probiy Horodenka1.21
1X2
48% 26% 26%
Lokomotiv Kyiv Draw FC Probiy Horodenka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Kyiv 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLDDDLD
FC Probiy Horodenka 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDWLDLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Kyiv 1510 · FC Probiy Horodenka 1487
Lokomotiv KyivDrawFC Probiy Horodenka
Our model48%26%26%
Market48%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lokomotiv KyivFC Probiy Horodenka
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.21.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 04.3 / 0.3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLokomotiv KyivFC Probiy Horodenka
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-0 D 1-0 W
FC Viktoriya Sumy 0-1 L 1-0 W
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 2-2 D 0-3 L
FC Chernigiv 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Probiy Horodenka (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Kyiv

WDWWLDDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D
08/08 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 105 L
02/08 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-2 2-2 73 D
25/07 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-1 62 D
07/07 Obolon Kyiv
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
31/05 FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukraine Druha Liga
0-0 1-2 04 L
16/05 FC Hirnyk Sport Komsomolsk
Ukraine Druha Liga
2-0 6-0 63 W
06/05 FC Livyi Bereh II
Ukraine Druha Liga
2-0 3-0 111 W
25/04 Chayka Petropavlovsk Borshchagovka
Ukraine Druha Liga
1-1 1-1 20 D
18/04 PFC Oleksandria II
Ukraine Druha Liga
1-0 1-0 104 W

FC Probiy Horodenka

WLWDWLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 0-3 76 L
09/08 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-1 D
01/08 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-3 1-3 45 L
26/07 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 2-2 63 D
01/06 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 0-3 74 L
23/05 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-0 W
17/05 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 D
10/05 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-0 W
03/05 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-3 L
25/04 Metalurg Zaporizhya
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 3-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Kyiv win (48%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Kyiv 48%, draw 26%, FC Probiy Horodenka 26%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.71 · FC Probiy Horodenka 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.