Football · Ukraine Cup · 21/08, 13:00

Prediction: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs FC Viktoriya Sumy

Team pages: FC Viktoriya Sumy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi0.76
FC Viktoriya Sumy2.02
1X2
13% 21% 66%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Draw FC Viktoriya Sumy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLLLLD
FC Viktoriya Sumy 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLLLDWWWW
Head-to-head
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–2–1 FC Viktoriya Sumy (4 last)
  • FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1-2FC Viktoriya Sumy
  • FC Viktoriya Sumy0-0FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
  • FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
  • FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1-1FC Viktoriya Sumy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1412 · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1547
FC Podillya KhmelnytskyiDrawFC Viktoriya Sumy
Our model12%22%66%
Market13%20%67%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Viktoriya Sumy (rating 1412 vs 1547).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Podillya KhmelnytskyiFC Viktoriya Sumy
Goals for / against (FT)0.3 / 1.51.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 3.32.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 121 FC Viktoriya Sumy

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/04/26
Ukraine Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1-2
HT 1-1
FC Viktoriya Sumy
21/09/25
Ukraine Persha Liga
FC Viktoriya Sumy0-0
HT 0-0
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
10/05/25
Ukraine Persha Liga
FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1
HT 0-1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
06/04/25
Ukraine Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1-1
HT 0-0
FC Viktoriya Sumy

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Podillya KhmelnytskyiFC Viktoriya Sumy
FSC Feniks-Mariupol 0-0 D 1-0 W
FC Livyi Bereh 0-1 L 1-1 D
FC Probiy Horodenka 0-3 L 0-1 L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Viktoriya Sumy (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

LLLDDLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 D
17/05 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-2 L
09/05 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-3 53 L
02/05 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-2 L
24/04 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-1 13 L
18/04 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-0 D
11/04 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 D
07/04 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 1-2 44 L
03/04 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-3 L
28/03 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-1 L

FC Viktoriya Sumy

WDLLLDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 2-1 43 W
08/08 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-0 35 W
02/08 Kolos Kovalivka II
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 2-0 107 W
24/07 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-0 32 W
14/07 FC Livyi Bereh
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 30 D
01/06 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 0-2 L
23/05 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-1 L
16/05 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 101 L
10/05 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 2-2 D
04/05 Metalurg Zaporizhya
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 3-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Viktoriya Sumy win (66%). Probabilities: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 13%, draw 21%, FC Viktoriya Sumy 66%.

How many goals are expected in FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?

The model expects 2.78 goals (FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0.76 · FC Viktoriya Sumy 2.02), with a 60% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs FC Viktoriya Sumy?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.