Football · Panama Liga Prom · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido Reserves · Academia Costa Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.48

Academia Costa Del Este1.43

1X2

38% 27% 36%

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Draw Academia Costa Del Este

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDLLW

Academia Costa Del Este 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDDWWD

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 0–3–3 Academia Costa Del Este (6 last)

Academia Costa Del Este0-0CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Academia Costa Del Este
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1-2Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este1-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Academia Costa Del Este2-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves0-2Academia Costa Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1524 · Academia Costa Del Este 1558

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Draw	Academia Costa Del Este
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Academia Costa Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	3.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	5.4 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +2’	2.35	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 0–3–3 Academia Costa Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
12/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Academia Costa Del Este
01/11/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	Academia Costa Del Este
09/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
09/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-2 HT 0-2	Academia Costa Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
2	Academia Costa Del Este	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	4	1	2	1	5	6	5
4	UMECIT Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
5	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	3	1	0	2	3	2	3
6	Champions FC Academy	4	1	0	3	6	9	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Academia Costa Del Este
UMECIT Reserves	3-0 W	2-1 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-1 L	2-0 W
Panama City FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Plaza Amador Reserves	4-4 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

WWDWWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
31/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
26/07	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
13/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/05	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
01/05	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
25/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-0	4-1	5	5	W
18/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	7	6	W

Academia Costa Del Este

DLWWLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/07	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
09/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	11	9	D
05/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
01/05	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-0	9-0	9	8	W
16/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	10	W
12/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
03/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido Reserves 38%, draw 27%, Academia Costa Del Este 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model expects 2.91 goals (CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.48 · Academia Costa Del Este 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.