Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 22/08, 23:00
Prediction: Vasco da Gama (W) vs Taubate (W)
Team pages: Vasco da Gama (W) · Taubate (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Vasco da Gama (W)2.39
Taubate (W)0.69
1X2
Vasco da Gama (W)
Draw
Taubate (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Vasco da Gama (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Taubate (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vasco da Gama (W)
3–1
Taubate (W)
(4 last)
- Taubate (W)0-2Vasco da Gama (W)
- Taubate (W)1-2Vasco da Gama (W)
- Vasco da Gama (W)1-0Taubate (W)
- Taubate (W)4-1Vasco da Gama (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasco da Gama (W) 1588 · Taubate (W) 1442
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Draw | Taubate (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco da Gama (W) (rating 1588 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Vasco da Gama (W): 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasco da Gama (W) | Taubate (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasco da Gama (W) 3–0–1 Taubate (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Brazil Serie A2 Women | Taubate (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vasco da Gama (W) |
| 21/03/26 Brazil Serie A2 Women | Taubate (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Vasco da Gama (W) |
| 20/04/25 Brazil Serie A2 Women | Vasco da Gama (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Taubate (W) |
| 24/04/19 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women | Taubate (W) | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Vasco da Gama (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco da Gama (W) | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Itabirito (W) | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
| 3 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | 3B Sport AM (W) | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Sociedade Acao (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Sport Recife (W) | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Taubate (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Perolas Negras (W) | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
| 10 | Paysandu (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 15 |
| 11 | Rio Negro RR (W) | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 15 |
| 12 | Ceara (W) | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 13 |
| 13 | Vila Nova GO (W) | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 13 |
| 14 | Doce Mel EC (W) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | UD Alagoana (W) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 37 | 7 |
| 16 | Itacoatiara (W) | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vasco da Gama (W) | Taubate (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova GO (W) | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Sao Paulo (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Doce Mel EC (W) | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vasco da Gama (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco da Gama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Taubate (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | UD Alagoana (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | America MG (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | 3B Sport AM (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Taubate (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Taubate (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasco da Gama (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Vasco da Gama (W) 75%, draw 16%, Taubate (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Taubate (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Vasco da Gama (W) 2.39 · Taubate (W) 0.69), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama (W) vs Taubate (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.